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Neftochimic Burgas vs Maritsa Milevo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-East efbet Arena, Burgas
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AI Match Summary

The Third League - South-East game between Neftochimic Burgas and Maritsa Milevo finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Neftochimic Burgas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Neftochimic Burgas
15%
Draws
42%
Maritsa Milevo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Neftochimic Burgas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Maritsa Milevo's 1.79 goals per match outpaces what Neftochimic Burgas have produced (1.68).
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Neftochimic Burgas taking it.
  • Regular Third League - South-East form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Neftochimic Burgas Clean Sheet 11%
Maritsa Milevo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Neftochimic Burgas Maritsa Milevo
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 16 16
Draws 7 5
Losses 5 8
Goals Scored 1.68 1.79
Goals Conceded 1.07 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Third League - South-East
Neftochimic Burgas vs Maritsa Milevo
2:0
May 23, 2026 Third League - South-East
Neftochimic Burgas vs Maritsa Milevo
2:2
Nov 22, 2025 Third League - South-East
Maritsa Milevo vs Neftochimic Burgas
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Neftochimic Burgas 40 / 100
Maritsa Milevo 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Neftochimic Burgas Maritsa Milevo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Neftochimic Burgas scored in 82% of their last 28 games.

H2H data points to 3.33 goals as a typical output.

Neftochimic Burgas went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Maritsa Milevo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 55% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Neftochimic Burgas VS Maritsa Milevo
1.88 Goals Scored 2.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Neftochimic Burgas

(Home)
04 Oct
Neftochimic Burgas
2 : 1
Svoge
26 Sept
Yambol 1915
0 : 2
Neftochimic Burgas
23 Sept
Neftochimic Burgas
3 : 0
Lok. Plovdiv II
19 Sept
Neftochimic Burgas
2 : 0
Zagorets
12 Sept
Sozopol
4 : 2
Neftochimic Burgas
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Maritsa Milevo

(Away)
03 Oct
Maritsa Milevo
4 : 2
Sozopol
27 Sept
Lok. Plovdiv II
0 : 5
Maritsa Milevo
19 Sept
Maritsa Milevo
0 : 4
Krumovgrad
12 Sept
Gigant Saedinenie
1 : 2
Maritsa Milevo
05 Sept
Sekirovo Rakovski
0 : 4
Maritsa Milevo
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Krumovgrad 8 8 0 0 26:7 24
2 Maritsa Milevo 9 7 0 2 21:11 21
3 Spartak Plovdiv 8 7 0 1 20:10 21
4 OFC Haskovo 8 5 2 1 15:6 17
5 Yambol 1915 8 5 1 2 24:9 16
6 Gigant Saedinenie 8 4 1 3 17:14 13
7 Neftochimic Burgas 8 4 1 3 15:12 13
8 Sozopol 9 4 1 4 19:17 13
9 Rozova Dolina 9 2 6 1 14:13 12
10 Rodopa Smolyan 8 3 2 3 13:14 11
11 Zagorets 8 3 1 4 10:15 10
12 Botev II 8 2 3 3 13:15 9
13 Dimitrovgrad 9 2 2 5 12:16 8
14 Lok. Plovdiv II 8 2 1 5 10:21 7
15 Atletik Kuklen 9 2 1 6 10:22 7
16 Sekirovo Rakovski 8 1 2 5 13:24 5
17 Levski Karlovo 8 1 0 7 5:19 3
18 Maritsa Plovdiv 9 0 2 7 5:17 2
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