Sport Picks
Neftochimic Burgas vs Svoge - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Bulgaria
Bulgarian Cup 
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 2-1. This leg finished 2-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
64%
15%
21%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Neftochimic Burgas
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
64%
/ High Confidence
- Svoge haven't matched Neftochimic Burgas's recent run of results.
- Neftochimic Burgas are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Neftochimic Burgas have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Svoge, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Neftochimic Burgas Clean Sheet 20%
Svoge Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Neftochimic Burgas | Svoge |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 16 | 9 |
| Draws | 7 | 5 |
| Losses | 5 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.68 | 0.86 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.07 | 1.34 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 4, 2026 Bulgarian Cup
Neftochimic Burgas vs Svoge
2:1
Apr 30, 2022 Vtora liga
Svoge vs Neftochimic Burgas
0:0
Oct 30, 2021 Vtora liga
Neftochimic Burgas vs Svoge
0:1
May 21, 2021 Vtora liga
Svoge vs Neftochimic Burgas
1:1
Dec 11, 2020 Vtora liga
Neftochimic Burgas vs Svoge
2:4
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Neftochimic Burgas 85 / 100
Svoge 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Neftochimic Burgas Svoge
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Neftochimic Burgas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Neftochimic Burgas scored in 82% of their last 28 outings.
Defensive concern: Svoge conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.
These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: Neftochimic Burgas stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Neftochimic Burgas VS Svoge
1.88 Goals Scored 0.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 25%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Neftochimic Burgas
(Home) 04 Oct
Neftochimic Burgas
2 : 1 Svoge
26 Sept
Yambol 1915
0 : 2 Neftochimic Burgas
23 Sept
Neftochimic Burgas
3 : 0 Lok. Plovdiv II
19 Sept
Neftochimic Burgas
2 : 0 Zagorets
12 Sept
Sozopol
4 : 2 Neftochimic Burgas
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Neftochimic Burgas
2 : 1 Svoge
23 Sept
Neftochimic Burgas
3 : 0 Lok. Plovdiv II
19 Sept
Neftochimic Burgas
2 : 0 Zagorets
22 Aug
Neftochimic Burgas
2 : 0 Maritsa Milevo
08 Aug
Neftochimic Burgas
0 : 2 Botev II
Page 1 of 4
Svoge
(Away) 04 Oct
Neftochimic Burgas
2 : 1 Svoge
27 Sept
CSKA Sofia II
1 : 0 Svoge
21 Sept
Svoge
3 : 2 Vihren
13 Sept
Beroe
1 : 0 Svoge
07 Sept
Svoge
0 : 0 Gorna
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Neftochimic Burgas
2 : 1 Svoge
27 Sept
CSKA Sofia II
1 : 0 Svoge
13 Sept
Beroe
1 : 0 Svoge
02 Sept
Rilski Sportist
2 : 1 Svoge
23 Aug
Yantra Gabrovo
1 : 0 Svoge
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Chernomorets Balchik 2
Etar 3
TBD -
Spartak Varna -
Natsional Sofia 1
Gorna 3
TBD -
Septemvri Sofia -
Spartak Plovdiv 1
Botev Ihtiman 0
TBD -
Arda -
Balkan Botevgrad 0
Fratria 3
TBD -
Botev Vratsa -
Neftochimic Burgas 2
Svoge 1
TBD -
CSKA 1948 Sofia -
Botev Novi Pazar 1
Vihren 4
TBD -
Lok. Sofia -
Benkovski 0
Akademik Svishtov 3
TBD -
Slavia Sofia -
Oborishte Panagyurishte 1
Yantra Gabrovo 3
TBD -
Lok. Plovdiv -
Zagorets 0
Rilski Sportist 4
TBD -
Dunav Ruse -
Minyor Pernik 1
Beroe 2
TBD -
Ludogorets -
Volov Shumen 0
Chernomorets 1919 2
TBD -
Botev Plovdiv -
Krumovgrad 1
Spartak Pleven 2
TBD -
Levski Sofia -
Chavdar Troyan 0
Marek 4
TBD -
Cherno More -
Rodopa Smolyan 1
Nesebar 3
TBD -
CSKA Sofia -
Lokomotiv Mezdra 2
Pirin Blagoevgrad 3
Yambol 1915 0
Hebar 5
Belasitsa Petrich 1
Dobrudzha 2
Bdin Vidin 0
Montana 2
1/16-finals
Etar -
Spartak Varna -
Gorna -
Septemvri Sofia -
Spartak Plovdiv -
Arda -
Fratria -
Botev Vratsa -
Neftochimic Burgas -
CSKA 1948 Sofia -
Vihren -
Lok. Sofia -
Akademik Svishtov -
Slavia Sofia -
Yantra Gabrovo -
Lok. Plovdiv -
Rilski Sportist -
Dunav Ruse -
Beroe -
Ludogorets -
Chernomorets 1919 -
Botev Plovdiv -
Spartak Pleven -
Levski Sofia -
Marek -
Cherno More -
Nesebar -
CSKA Sofia -
Pirin Blagoevgrad -
Hebar -
Dobrudzha -
Montana -
1/8-finals
TBD -
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Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
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