Sport Picks
Neftochimic Burgas vs Zagorets - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Bulgaria
Third League - South-East efbet Arena, Burgas 
AI Match Summary
Neftochimic Burgas in this Third League - South-East matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Neftochimic Burgas.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
68%
15%
17%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Neftochimic Burgas
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
68%
/ High Confidence
- Zagorets haven't matched Neftochimic Burgas's recent run of results.
- 68% — that's where the model lands on Neftochimic Burgas taking it.
- Regular Third League - South-East form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Neftochimic Burgas Clean Sheet 17%
Zagorets Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Neftochimic Burgas | Zagorets |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 16 | 9 |
| Draws | 7 | 5 |
| Losses | 5 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.68 | 1.41 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.07 | 2.21 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 19, 2026 Third League - South-East
Neftochimic Burgas vs Zagorets
2:0
Mar 21, 2026 Third League - South-East
Zagorets vs Neftochimic Burgas
0:1
Sep 6, 2025 Third League - South-East
Neftochimic Burgas vs Zagorets
0:2
Apr 19, 2019 Third League - South-East
Neftochimic Burgas vs Zagorets
4:2
Oct 13, 2018 Third League - South-East
Zagorets vs Neftochimic Burgas
2:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Neftochimic Burgas 84 / 100
Zagorets 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Neftochimic Burgas Zagorets
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Neftochimic Burgas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Neftochimic Burgas scored in 82% of their last 28 outings.
Zagorets has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.
H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Neftochimic Burgas remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Neftochimic Burgas VS Zagorets
1.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Neftochimic Burgas
(Home) 04 Oct
Neftochimic Burgas
2 : 1 Svoge
26 Sept
Yambol 1915
0 : 2 Neftochimic Burgas
23 Sept
Neftochimic Burgas
3 : 0 Lok. Plovdiv II
19 Sept
Neftochimic Burgas
2 : 0 Zagorets
12 Sept
Sozopol
4 : 2 Neftochimic Burgas
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Neftochimic Burgas
2 : 1 Svoge
23 Sept
Neftochimic Burgas
3 : 0 Lok. Plovdiv II
19 Sept
Neftochimic Burgas
2 : 0 Zagorets
22 Aug
Neftochimic Burgas
2 : 0 Maritsa Milevo
08 Aug
Neftochimic Burgas
0 : 2 Botev II
Page 1 of 4
Zagorets
(Away) 04 Oct
Zagorets
0 : 4 Rilski Sportist
26 Sept
Zagorets
0 : 3 Botev II
19 Sept
Neftochimic Burgas
2 : 0 Zagorets
12 Sept
Zagorets
4 : 3 Atletik Kuklen
05 Sept
Dimitrovgrad
2 : 0 Zagorets
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Neftochimic Burgas
2 : 0 Zagorets
05 Sept
Dimitrovgrad
2 : 0 Zagorets
22 Aug
Rodopa Smolyan
1 : 3 Zagorets
08 Aug
Maritsa Plovdiv
0 : 0 Zagorets
18 Jul
Beroe
0 : 0 Zagorets
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Krumovgrad | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 26:7 | 24 |
| 2 | Maritsa Milevo | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 21:11 | 21 |
| 3 | Spartak Plovdiv | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 20:10 | 21 |
| 4 | OFC Haskovo | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 15:6 | 17 |
| 5 | Yambol 1915 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 24:9 | 16 |
| 6 | Gigant Saedinenie | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 17:14 | 13 |
| 7 | Neftochimic Burgas | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 15:12 | 13 |
| 8 | Sozopol | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 19:17 | 13 |
| 9 | Rozova Dolina | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 14:13 | 12 |
| 10 | Rodopa Smolyan | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13:14 | 11 |
| 11 | Zagorets | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10:15 | 10 |
| 12 | Botev II | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 13:15 | 9 |
| 13 | Dimitrovgrad | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 12:16 | 8 |
| 14 | Lok. Plovdiv II | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10:21 | 7 |
| 15 | Atletik Kuklen | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 10:22 | 7 |
| 16 | Sekirovo Rakovski | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 13:24 | 5 |
| 17 | Levski Karlovo | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 5:19 | 3 |
| 18 | Maritsa Plovdiv | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5:17 | 2 |
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