Sport Picks

Ethiopia

Premier League

Negele Arsi Ketema FC

2 - 1

Hawassa

Our Tip

Match Events

41'

Markos A.

78'

Kebede G.

85'

Salalo R.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Negele Arsi Ketema FC in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Negele Arsi Ketema FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

Negele Arsi Ketema FC

30%

Draws

34%

Hawassa

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Negele Arsi Ketema FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence

Negele Arsi Ketema FC have won more games recently than Hawassa.
36% — that's where the model lands on Negele Arsi Ketema FC taking it.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 3%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%

Negele Arsi Ketema FC Clean Sheet 68%

Hawassa Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Negele Arsi Ketema FC	Hawassa
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	12	8
Draws	11	13
Losses	7	9
Goals Scored	1	0.5
Goals Conceded	1	0.88
Expected Goals (xG)	1.00	0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.00	0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 15, 2026 Premier League

Negele Arsi Ketema FC vs Hawassa

Possession: 58% - 59% Cards: 1 - 1

2:1

Jan 21, 2026 Premier League

Hawassa vs Negele Arsi Ketema FC

Possession: 59% - 45% Cards: 1 - 1

2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Negele Arsi Ketema FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Markos A.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Salalo R.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.77

Avg xA / game 0.5

Hawassa Compare

Top Goalscorer Kebede G.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.45

Avg xA / game 0.28

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Negele Arsi Ketema FC 46 / 100

Hawassa 44 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Negele Arsi Ketema FC Hawassa

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Negele Arsi Ketema FC's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Hawassa let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Negele Arsi Ketema FC has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Negele Arsi Ketema FC VS Hawassa

1 Goals Scored 0.5

1 Goals Conceded 0.88

63% Over 1.5 38%

63% Over 2.5 25%

13% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Sidama Bunna	38	19	11	8	43:23	68
2	Negele Arsi Ketema FC	38	15	15	8	37:30	60
3	Mechal SC	38	14	15	9	44:31	57
4	Fasil Kenema	38	14	13	11	28:28	55
5	Ethio Electric S.C.	38	13	15	10	32:26	54
6	St. Georges	38	14	12	12	33:31	54
7	Welayta Dicha	38	11	18	9	37:31	51
8	Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)	38	13	12	13	40:39	51
9	Hawassa	38	12	14	12	37:32	50
10	Sheger Ketema FC	38	11	17	10	34:31	50
11	Bahir Dar Kenema	38	9	21	8	28:28	48
12	Hadiya Hossana	38	11	15	12	31:35	48
13	Ethiopia Nigd Bank	38	11	14	13	45:45	47
14	Ethiopian Insurance	38	10	16	12	30:31	46
15	Adama City	38	10	16	12	35:39	46
16	Welwalo Adigrat	38	10	16	12	32:36	46
17	Shire Endaselassie	38	9	15	14	24:32	42
18	Dire Dawa	38	9	15	14	27:41	42
19	Mekelle 70 Enderta FC	38	8	16	14	26:38	40
20	Arba Menche	38	7	14	17	30:46	35