Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Negele Arsi Ketema FC vs Sidama Bunna

Ethiopia Ethiopia

Ethiopia Cup
Negele Arsi Ketema FC Logo

Negele Arsi Ketema FC

1 - 2
FT
Sidama Bunna Logo

Sidama Bunna

Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
64' Event
76' Event
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-2. This leg finished 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Negele Arsi Ketema FC
30%
Draws
33%
Sidama Bunna
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Negele Arsi Ketema FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sidama Bunna lately — more wins on the board than Negele Arsi Ketema FC.
  • Negele Arsi Ketema FC are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Sidama Bunna arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Sidama Bunna, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
Negele Arsi Ketema FC Clean Sheet 68%
Sidama Bunna Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Negele Arsi Ketema FC Sidama Bunna
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 12 14
Draws 11 9
Losses 7 8
Goals Scored 0.97 1.1
Goals Conceded 0.8 0.74
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 20, 2026 Premier League
Sidama Bunna vs Negele Arsi Ketema FC
1:1
Apr 25, 2026 Ethiopia Cup
Negele Arsi Ketema FC vs Sidama Bunna
1:2
Jan 27, 2026 Premier League
Negele Arsi Ketema FC vs Sidama Bunna
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Negele Arsi Ketema FC 46 / 100
Sidama Bunna 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Negele Arsi Ketema FC Sidama Bunna

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Negele Arsi Ketema FC scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Negele Arsi Ketema FC stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Sidama Bunna's defensive record shows goals conceded in 52% of 31 matches.

Scoring Trends

Negele Arsi Ketema FC VS Sidama Bunna
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Negele Arsi Ketema FC

(Home)
01 Jul
Mekelle 70 Enderta FC
3 : 0
Negele Arsi Ketema FC
26 Jun
Negele Arsi Ketema FC
2 : 0
Ethiopia Nigd Bank
20 Jun
Sidama Bunna
1 : 1
Negele Arsi Ketema FC
15 Jun
Negele Arsi Ketema FC
2 : 1
Hawassa
04 Jun
Welayta Dicha
0 : 0
Negele Arsi Ketema FC
Page 1 of 6

Sidama Bunna

(Away)
13 Sept
Sidama Bunna
3 : 0
Aiglons
05 Sept
Aiglons
0 : 0
Sidama Bunna
09 Jul
Sidama Bunna
0 : 2
Welwalo Adigrat
05 Jul
Sidama Bunna
0 : 1
Ethio Electric S.C.
28 Jun
Bahir Dar Kenema
0 : 1
Sidama Bunna
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Negele Arsi Ketema FC 1
Sidama Bunna 2
Bench Maji Bunna FC 0
Ethiopian Insurance 2
Mechal SC 0
Welwalo Adigrat 1
Boditi Ketema SC 2
Mekelle 70 Enderta FC 3
Semi-finals
Sidama Bunna 3
Ethiopian Insurance 2
Welwalo Adigrat 1
Mekelle 70 Enderta FC 0
Final
Sidama Bunna 0
Welwalo Adigrat 2