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Negombo Youth vs Super Sun

Sri Lanka Sri Lanka

Champions League 2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Champions League 2015 game between Negombo Youth and Super Sun finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Negombo Youth.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
Negombo Youth
20%
Draws
73%
Super Sun
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Super Sun

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Super Sun come out ahead of Negombo Youth on wins alone.
  • Model gives Super Sun a 73% chance of winning this.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Champions League 2015 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Negombo Youth Clean Sheet 13%
Super Sun Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Negombo Youth Super Sun
Matches Played 31 16
Wins 8 10
Draws 5 4
Losses 18 2
Goals Scored 1.39 1.81
Goals Conceded 2.42 0.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 9, 2019 Super League
Negombo Youth vs Super Sun
0:0
Oct 21, 2017 Super League
Super Sun vs Negombo Youth
2:0
Oct 11, 2015 Super League
Negombo Youth vs Super Sun
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Negombo Youth 10 / 100
Super Sun 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Negombo Youth Super Sun

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Super Sun Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Negombo Youth's goal record stands at 84% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.33 goals.

Super Sun has conceded goals in 44% of their last 16 outings.

Negombo Youth has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Negombo Youth VS Super Sun
1.25 Goals Scored 0
2.38 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Negombo Youth

(Home)
13 Feb
Negombo Youth
2 : 8
Solid
02 Feb
Negombo Youth
0 : 6
Matara City
30 Jan
Crystal Palace
2 : 1
Negombo Youth
27 Jan
Defenders FC
2 : 2
Negombo Youth
19 Jan
Negombo Youth
0 : 1
Blue Eagles
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Super Sun

(Away)
27 Dec
Super Sun
2 : 0
Saunders
17 Dec
Moragasmulla
3 : 4
Super Sun
09 Dec
Matara City
1 : 1
Super Sun
25 Nov
Super Sun
1 : 2
Renown
19 Nov
Crystal Palace
1 : 3
Super Sun
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