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Nejmeh SC vs Al Sahel

Lebanon Lebanon

Premier League
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Kassas A.
48' Event
Abata V.
Assist: Salami H.
72' Event
Masud J.
Assist: Michael R.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Nejmeh SC and Al Sahel finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nejmeh SC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Nejmeh SC
20%
Draws
33%
Al Sahel
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Nejmeh SC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Nejmeh SC come out ahead of Al Sahel on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Nejmeh SC's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Nejmeh SC have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Nejmeh SC Clean Sheet 20%
Al Sahel Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nejmeh SC Al Sahel
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 19 12
Draws 7 8
Losses 5 10
Goals Scored 1.84 1.37
Goals Conceded 0.65 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.07
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 7, 2026 Premier League
Al Sahel vs Nejmeh SC
1:1
Oct 3, 2025 Premier League
Nejmeh SC vs Al Sahel
3:1
Mar 15, 2025 Premier League
Al Sahel vs Nejmeh SC
0:2
Dec 2, 2023 Premier League
Nejmeh SC vs Al Sahel
3:1
Feb 11, 2023 Premier League
Al Sahel vs Nejmeh SC
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nejmeh SC Compare

Top Goalscorer Kassas A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Masud J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Al Sahel Compare

Top Goalscorer Abata V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.97
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nejmeh SC 58 / 100
Al Sahel 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nejmeh SC Al Sahel

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nejmeh SC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Nejmeh SC scored in 84% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Al Sahel has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: Nejmeh SC remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Nejmeh SC VS Al Sahel
2.25 Goals Scored 1.4
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 60%
63% Over 2.5 40%
38% Over 3.5 20%

Recent Form & Match History

Nejmeh SC

(Home)
02 Aug
Nejmeh SC
1 : 2
Al Ansar
28 Jul
Nejmeh SC
2 : 1
Al Ahed
24 Jul
Nejmeh SC
2 : 1
Jwayya SC
20 Jul
Al Ansar
1 : 1
Nejmeh SC
16 Jul
Al Ahed
0 : 2
Nejmeh SC
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Al Sahel

(Away)
02 Jul
Jwayya SC
0 : 0
Al Sahel
28 Jun
Al Ahed
4 : 2
Al Sahel
24 Jun
Al Sahel
3 : 0
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
16 Jun
Al Sahel
2 : 0
Racing
12 Jun
Al Sahel
0 : 1
Safa
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Ansar 21 17 2 2 53:9 53
2 Nejmeh SC 21 14 4 3 42:10 46
3 Al Ahed 21 13 1 7 34:22 40
4 Jwayya SC 21 11 5 5 31:14 38
5 Safa 21 11 3 7 30:17 36
6 Al Hikma 21 9 3 9 29:27 30
7 Al Sahel 21 7 6 8 22:21 27
8 Al-Mabarrah 21 5 7 9 12:36 22
9 Al Riyadi Abbasiyah 21 5 5 11 16:30 20
10 Tadamon 21 3 8 10 12:26 17
11 Racing 21 0 1 20 4:61 1
12 Bourj 11 3 1 7 8:20 10
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Main)
Relegation - Premier League (Relegation)