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Nejmeh SC vs Bourj

Lebanon Lebanon

Premier League
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Sadek M.
Assist: El Fadl A.
12' Event
Kassas A.
Assist: Kourani H.
60'
Toure M.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Nejmeh SC and Bourj finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nejmeh SC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Nejmeh SC
15%
Draws
32%
Bourj
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nejmeh SC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Nejmeh SC come out ahead of Bourj on wins alone.
  • 53% — that's where the model lands on Nejmeh SC taking it.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Nejmeh SC Clean Sheet 68%
Bourj Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nejmeh SC Bourj
Matches Played 37 32
Wins 24 17
Draws 7 4
Losses 6 11
Goals Scored 2.03 1.22
Goals Conceded 0.68 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 19, 2025 Premier League
Nejmeh SC vs Bourj
3:0
Mar 29, 2025 Premier League
Bourj vs Nejmeh SC
1:0
May 20, 2024 Premier League
Bourj vs Nejmeh SC
0:1
Mar 14, 2024 Premier League
Nejmeh SC vs Bourj
1:0
Feb 3, 2024 Premier League
Bourj vs Nejmeh SC
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nejmeh SC Compare

Top Goalscorer Sadek M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kassas A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

Bourj Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nejmeh SC 95 / 100
Bourj 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nejmeh SC Bourj

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nejmeh SC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nejmeh SC's goal record stands at 84% scoring rate across 37 recent games.

Bourj let in goals in 66% of their last 32 matches.

Nejmeh SC went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Bourj's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Nejmeh SC VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Nejmeh SC

(Home)
02 Aug
Nejmeh SC
1 : 2
Al Ansar
28 Jul
Nejmeh SC
2 : 1
Al Ahed
24 Jul
Nejmeh SC
2 : 1
Jwayya SC
20 Jul
Al Ansar
1 : 1
Nejmeh SC
16 Jul
Al Ahed
0 : 2
Nejmeh SC
Page 1 of 8

Bourj

(Away)
30 Dec
Al Ansar
4 : 1
Bourj
25 Dec
Bourj
1 : 4
Al Ahed
19 Dec
Bourj
1 : 0
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
12 Dec
Bourj
2 : 1
Racing
06 Dec
Al Sahel
1 : 0
Bourj
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Ansar 21 17 2 2 53:9 53
2 Nejmeh SC 21 14 4 3 42:10 46
3 Al Ahed 21 13 1 7 34:22 40
4 Jwayya SC 21 11 5 5 31:14 38
5 Safa 21 11 3 7 30:17 36
6 Al Hikma 21 9 3 9 29:27 30
7 Al Sahel 21 7 6 8 22:21 27
8 Al-Mabarrah 21 5 7 9 12:36 22
9 Al Riyadi Abbasiyah 21 5 5 11 16:30 20
10 Tadamon 21 3 8 10 12:26 17
11 Racing 21 0 1 20 4:61 1
12 Bourj 11 3 1 7 8:20 10
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Main)
Relegation - Premier League (Relegation)