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Nelas vs AD Valecambrense

Portugal Portugal

Taça de Portugal 2007/2008
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AI Match Summary

The Taça de Portugal 2007/2008 game between Nelas and AD Valecambrense finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nelas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Nelas
44%
Draws
20%
AD Valecambrense
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Nelas come out ahead of AD Valecambrense on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Taça de Portugal 2007/2008 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 49%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Nelas Clean Sheet 11%
AD Valecambrense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nelas AD Valecambrense
Matches Played 9 5
Wins 5 1
Draws 0 0
Losses 4 4
Goals Scored 1.63 2.2
Goals Conceded 1.38 2.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.20
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 2.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 18, 2007 Taça de Portugal
Nelas vs AD Valecambrense
2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nelas 35 / 100
AD Valecambrense 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nelas AD Valecambrense

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VAL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AD Valecambrense let in goals in 100% of their last 5 matches.

Attacking prowess: Nelas scored in 78% of their last 9 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Difficult form: AD Valecambrense registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nelas VS AD Valecambrense
1.63 Goals Scored 2.2
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.4
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 80%
38% Over 3.5 60%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
FC Porto2
Chaves0
Real SC0
Aves1
Penafiel2
Vizela1
Portimonense1
Sertanense2
Leixoes4
Torreense0
Freamunde0
Anadia1
Juv. Evora2
Infesta1
Messinense0
Gil Vicente2
Naval3
Serzedelo0
TBD-
Boavista-
Olhanense2
Carregado1
Rebordosa1
Rio Ave6
Vitoria Guimaraes1
Atletico CP0
Cova De Piedade0
Nacional5
Leiria2
Nelas0
Operario0
Vitoria Setubal1
Benfica3
Academica1
SC Lusitania1
Feirense4
Abrantes1
Monsanto0
BSAD2
Pacos Ferreira3
Valdevez1
CU Micaelense0
Social Lamas1
Tocha2
Beira Mar1
Torre De Moncorvo0
Machico0
Moreirense4
Estrela da Amadora-
TBD-
UD Rio Maior1
Fatima2
Camacha1
Sanjoanense0
TBD-
Braga-
Maritimo-
TBD-
Mondinense0
Oliveirense4
Lagoa3
Santa Clara2
Louletano0
Sporting CP4
1/16-finals
FC Porto2
Aves0
Penafiel1
Sertanense2
Leixoes1
Anadia0
Juv. Evora0
Gil Vicente3
Naval4
Boavista1
Olhanense3
Rio Ave4
Vitoria Guimaraes1
Nacional0
Leiria0
Vitoria Setubal1
Benfica1
Feirense0
Abrantes0
Pacos Ferreira4
Valdevez3
Tocha1
Beira Mar0
Moreirense1
Estrela da Amadora4
Fatima2
Camacha2
Braga3
Maritimo1
Oliveirense0
Lagoa0
Sporting CP4
1/8-finals
FC Porto4
Sertanense0
Leixoes0
Gil Vicente1
Naval3
Rio Ave1
Vitoria Guimaraes1
Vitoria Setubal2
Benfica4
Pacos Ferreira1
Valdevez0
Moreirense3
Estrela da Amadora1
Braga0
Maritimo1
Sporting CP2
Quarter-finals
FC Porto1
Gil Vicente0
Naval1
Vitoria Setubal2
Benfica2
Moreirense0
Estrela da Amadora0
Sporting CP1
Semi-finals
FC Porto3
Vitoria Setubal0
Benfica3
Sporting CP5
Final
FC Porto0
Sporting CP2