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Nelson Eastern Suburbs vs South East United

Australia Australia

Tasmania Southern Championship 2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tasmania Southern Championship 2019 game between Nelson Eastern Suburbs and South East United finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward South East United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Nelson Eastern Suburbs
22%
Draws
18%
South East United
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Nelson Eastern Suburbs

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and South East United come out ahead of Nelson Eastern Suburbs on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Nelson Eastern Suburbs's way, sitting at 60%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Tasmania Southern Championship 2019 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Nelson Eastern Suburbs have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Nelson Eastern Suburbs Clean Sheet 13%
South East United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nelson Eastern Suburbs South East United
Matches Played 21 36
Wins 3 20
Draws 4 3
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 0 2.25
Goals Conceded 0 2.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 31, 2019 Tasmania Southern Championship
Nelson Eastern Suburbs vs South East United
2:3
Jul 13, 2019 Tasmania Southern Championship
South East United vs Nelson Eastern Suburbs
0:2
May 25, 2019 Tasmania Southern Championship
Nelson Eastern Suburbs vs South East United
2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nelson Eastern Suburbs 57 / 100
South East United 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nelson Eastern Suburbs South East United

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NEL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.33 goals as a typical output.

Nelson Eastern Suburbs scored in 76% of their last 21 games.

South East United's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 36 matches.

South East United's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS South East United
0 Goals Scored 2.25
0 Goals Conceded 2.75
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 75%