Sport Picks
Neman vs Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
Belarus
Vysshaya Liga Stadion Neman, Grodno 
Match Events
28'
28'
Gorbachik V.
Assist: Kaplenko N.
31'
31'
Jimoh S.
45'
45'
Lovets Y.
AI Match Summary
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk in this Vysshaya Liga matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Arsenal Dzerzhinsk.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
50%
35%
15%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Neman
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
50%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Neman lately — more wins on the board than Arsenal Dzerzhinsk.
- Win probability leans Neman's way, sitting at 90%.
- Regular Vysshaya Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 5 times recently and Neman have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Neman Clean Sheet 68%
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Neman | Arsenal Dzerzhinsk |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 15 | 8 |
| Draws | 5 | 9 |
| Losses | 9 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.45 | 1.21 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.97 | 1.62 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.94 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 26, 2026 Belarusian Cup
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk vs Neman
2:3
Jul 4, 2026 Vysshaya Liga
Neman vs Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
0:1
Oct 10, 2025 Vysshaya Liga
Neman vs Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
1:0
Apr 19, 2025 Vysshaya Liga
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk vs Neman
0:3
Oct 6, 2024 Vysshaya Liga
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk vs Neman
0:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Neman Compare
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk Compare
Top Goalscorer Gorbachik V.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Neman 95 / 100
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Neman Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Neman Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Neman scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.
Neman has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Neman VS Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
1.63 Goals Scored 0.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.25
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Neman
(Home) 02 Oct
Neman
1 : 2 Dynamo Brest
19 Sept
Isloch Minsk
1 : 2 Neman
12 Sept
Neman
1 : 0 Zhodino
06 Sept
Belshina
2 : 2 Neman
29 Aug
Neman
1 : 0 Slavia Mozyr
Page 1 of 6
02 Oct
Neman
1 : 2 Dynamo Brest
12 Sept
Neman
1 : 0 Zhodino
29 Aug
Neman
1 : 0 Slavia Mozyr
15 Aug
Neman
2 : 1 FC Minsk
04 Jul
Neman
0 : 1 Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
Page 1 of 4
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
(Away) 03 Oct
FC Minsk
0 : 0 Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
18 Sept
ML Vitebsk
5 : 1 Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
12 Sept
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
0 : 0 FK Baranovici
07 Sept
Isloch Minsk
1 : 1 Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
30 Aug
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
2 : 4 Zhodino
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
FC Minsk
0 : 0 Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
18 Sept
ML Vitebsk
5 : 1 Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
07 Sept
Isloch Minsk
1 : 1 Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
22 Aug
Belshina
2 : 0 Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
07 Aug
Naftan
3 : 0 Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Isloch Minsk | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 37:18 | 45 |
| 2 | ML Vitebsk | 21 | 12 | 8 | 1 | 42:17 | 44 |
| 3 | Din. Minsk | 21 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 37:16 | 43 |
| 4 | Dynamo Brest | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 38:23 | 40 |
| 5 | FC Gomel | 23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 33:18 | 39 |
| 6 | Neman | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 26:20 | 37 |
| 7 | Vitebsk | 23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 28:21 | 36 |
| 8 | FC Minsk | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 30:28 | 34 |
| 9 | Zhodino | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 28:29 | 27 |
| 10 | Slavia Mozyr | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 23:26 | 25 |
| 11 | FK Baranovici | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 24:38 | 25 |
| 12 | Arsenal Dzerzhinsk | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 24:41 | 23 |
| 13 | Belshina | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 22:36 | 21 |
| 14 | BATE | 22 | 3 | 9 | 10 | 16:27 | 18 |
| 15 | Dnepr Mogilev | 23 | 2 | 10 | 11 | 20:36 | 16 |
| 16 | Naftan | 23 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 20:54 | 14 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Vysshaya Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Pershaya Liga 2027 (Main)
