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Neman vs FK Baranovici - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Belarus Belarus

Vysshaya Liga Stadion Neman, Grodno
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neman host FK Baranovici in the Vysshaya Liga. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. FK Baranovici have shipped 1.61 goals a game lately, while Neman have conceded 0.97 and scored 1.45. Head-to-head, Neman have won 2 to FK Baranovici's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on May 24, 2026, ending 1:2. The numbers (1.50 xG vs 1.13) point toward Neman. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Neman
30%
Draws
31%
FK Baranovici
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Neman

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • FK Baranovici haven't matched Neman's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Vysshaya Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Neman have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Neman Clean Sheet 68%
FK Baranovici Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Neman FK Baranovici
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 15 8
Draws 5 8
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.45 1.18
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 Vysshaya Liga
FK Baranovici vs Neman
1:2
Mar 7, 2026 Club Friendly
Neman vs FK Baranovici
0:0
Jun 28, 2023 Belarusian Cup
FK Baranovici vs Neman
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Neman 41 / 100
FK Baranovici 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Neman FK Baranovici

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Neman Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: FK Baranovici conceded in 82% of 28 recent games.

Neman scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

These sides typically produce 1.67 goals when they meet.

Neman has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Neman VS FK Baranovici
1.63 Goals Scored 1.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Neman

(Home)
02 Oct
Neman
1 : 2
Dynamo Brest
19 Sept
Isloch Minsk
1 : 2
Neman
12 Sept
Neman
1 : 0
Zhodino
06 Sept
Belshina
2 : 2
Neman
29 Aug
Neman
1 : 0
Slavia Mozyr
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FK Baranovici

(Away)
20 Sept
FK Baranovici
0 : 2
FC Gomel
12 Sept
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
0 : 0
FK Baranovici
06 Sept
FK Baranovici
2 : 1
Dnepr Mogilev
29 Aug
Din. Minsk
0 : 1
FK Baranovici
23 Aug
FK Baranovici
1 : 1
Dynamo Brest
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Isloch Minsk 22 13 6 3 37:18 45
2 ML Vitebsk 21 12 8 1 42:17 44
3 Din. Minsk 21 13 4 4 37:16 43
4 Dynamo Brest 23 12 4 7 38:23 40
5 FC Gomel 23 11 6 6 33:18 39
6 Neman 22 11 4 7 26:20 37
7 Vitebsk 23 10 6 7 28:21 36
8 FC Minsk 23 10 4 9 30:28 34
9 Zhodino 22 7 6 9 28:29 27
10 Slavia Mozyr 22 6 7 9 23:26 25
11 FK Baranovici 23 6 7 10 24:38 25
12 Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 23 5 8 10 24:41 23
13 Belshina 22 5 6 11 22:36 21
14 BATE 22 3 9 10 16:27 18
15 Dnepr Mogilev 23 2 10 11 20:36 16
16 Naftan 23 3 5 15 20:54 14
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Vysshaya Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Pershaya Liga 2027 (Main)