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Neman vs ML Vitebsk

Belarus Belarus

Vysshaya Liga Stadion Neman
Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Pushnyakov S.
Assist: Tonkevich V.
57'
Sub
Pushnyakov S. In: Radikovskiy D.
Out: Pushnyakov S.
57'
Sub
Dayneko A. In: Savitskiy P.
Out: Dayneko A.

AI Match Summary

ML Vitebsk in this Vysshaya Liga matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored ML Vitebsk.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Neman
28%
Draws
50%
ML Vitebsk
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: ML Vitebsk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to ML Vitebsk lately — more wins on the board than Neman.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on ML Vitebsk taking it.
  • Regular Vysshaya Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Neman Clean Sheet 10%
ML Vitebsk Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Neman ML Vitebsk
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 14 17
Draws 6 4
Losses 10 6
Goals Scored 1 2.38
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 Vysshaya Liga
Neman vs ML Vitebsk
1:2
Feb 28, 2026 Super Cup
ML Vitebsk vs Neman
2:3
Sep 20, 2025 Vysshaya Liga
Neman vs ML Vitebsk
3:1
May 3, 2025 Vysshaya Liga
ML Vitebsk vs Neman
1:0
Feb 9, 2024 Club Friendly
Neman vs ML Vitebsk
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Neman Compare

Top Goalscorer Pushnyakov S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

ML Vitebsk Compare

Top Goalscorer Abdullahi O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Zhuk V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Neman 22 / 100
ML Vitebsk 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Neman ML Vitebsk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MLV Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Neman found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: ML Vitebsk conceded in 67% of 27 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Neman remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Neman VS ML Vitebsk
1 Goals Scored 2.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Din. Minsk14103126:1233
2ML Vitebsk1494130:1331
3Isloch Minsk1484224:1028
4FC Gomel1575321:1326
5Dynamo Brest1573524:1524
6Zhodino1565423:1323
7FC Minsk1564521:2022
8Arsenal Dzerzhinsk1556418:2121
9Neman1563616:1521
10Vitebsk1555516:1620
11FK Baranovici1544715:2616
12Slavia Mozyr1536614:2215
13Dnepr Mogilev1525812:2211
14Belshina1432913:2611
15BATE141679:179
16Naftan14131010:316