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Neom SC vs Abha - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia

Saudi Professional League King Khalid Sports City, Tabuk
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neom SC host Abha in the Saudi Professional League. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Recent numbers: Neom SC at 1.48 goals for, 0.97 against; Abha at 1.27 for, 1.37 against. Past meetings favor Neom SC slightly — 2-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 21, 2025, ending 2:2. Model xG sits at 1.75 vs 0.76, favoring Neom SC. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Neom SC
20%
Draws
7%
Abha
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Neom SC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Neom SC come out ahead of Abha on wins alone.
  • Neom SC are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Neom SC Clean Sheet 20%
Abha Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Neom SC Abha
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 16 13
Draws 8 5
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.48 1.27
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.76
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 21, 2025 Division 1
Neom SC vs Abha
2:2
Aug 21, 2024 Division 1
Abha vs Neom SC
0:2
Mar 7, 2012 Division 1
Neom SC vs Abha
1:0
Nov 16, 2011 Division 1
Abha vs Neom SC
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Neom SC 85 / 100
Abha 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Neom SC Abha

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Neom SC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Abha let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: Neom SC scored in 76% of their last 33 outings.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Neom SC has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Neom SC VS Abha
1.88 Goals Scored 0.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Neom SC

(Home)
17 Oct
Neom SC
0 : 1
Al Ettifaq FC
13 Oct
Neom SC
4 : 0
Al Shabab Hadramaut
10 Oct
Al Hazem Rass
1 : 1
Neom SC
13 Sept
Neom SC
4 : 2
Al Fateh
07 Sept
Al Hilal
0 : 2
Neom SC
Page 1 of 7

Abha

(Away)
16 Oct
Al Qadsiah
2 : 1
Abha
13 Sept
Al Diriyah
0 : 0
Abha
09 Sept
Al Nassr
2 : 1
Abha
04 Sept
Abha
0 : 1
Al Ettifaq FC
28 Aug
Al Fayha
3 : 2
Abha
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Qadsiah 9 7 1 1 23:9 22
2 Al Hilal 8 7 0 1 26:7 21
3 Al Nassr 8 6 1 1 19:7 19
4 Al Ittihad 8 5 2 1 14:9 17
5 Neom SC 9 5 1 3 14:8 16
6 Al Ahli SC 8 5 0 3 20:10 15
7 Al Ettifaq FC 9 4 3 2 13:12 15
8 Al Diriyah 9 3 3 3 8:9 12
9 Al Kholood 9 3 3 3 14:18 12
10 Al Hazem Rass 9 2 3 4 10:13 9
11 Al Khaleej 9 1 6 2 6:11 9
12 Al Riyadh 8 2 3 3 9:17 9
13 Al Shabab 8 1 4 3 9:11 7
14 Al Fayha 9 1 4 4 8:14 7
15 Al Faisaly 8 1 3 4 8:15 6
16 Al Fateh 9 1 3 5 7:17 6
17 Al Taawon 9 0 4 5 4:16 4
18 Abha 8 0 2 6 6:15 2
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Division 1 2027/2028 (Main)