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Neom SC vs Al Qadsiah - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia

Saudi Professional League King Khalid Sports City, Tabuk
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Match Events

20'
Alvarez G.
29' Event
Reijnders T.
Assist: Alvarez G.
46'
Sub
Abu Al Shamat M. In: Al Shahrani Y.
Out: Abu Al Shamat M.

AI Match Summary

The Saudi Professional League game between Neom SC and Al Qadsiah finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al Qadsiah.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Neom SC
30%
Draws
37%
Al Qadsiah
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Al Qadsiah

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Al Qadsiah carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Saudi Professional League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Al Qadsiah have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Neom SC Clean Sheet 15%
Al Qadsiah Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Neom SC Al Qadsiah
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 15 19
Draws 7 6
Losses 8 3
Goals Scored 1.5 2.46
Goals Conceded 1 0.96
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 24, 2026 Saudi Professional League
Neom SC vs Al Qadsiah
0:2
Feb 12, 2026 Saudi Professional League
Al Qadsiah vs Neom SC
1:0
Oct 19, 2025 Saudi Professional League
Neom SC vs Al Qadsiah
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Neom SC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Al Qadsiah Compare

Top Goalscorer Reijnders T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Neom SC 35 / 100
Al Qadsiah 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Neom SC Al Qadsiah

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Qadsiah Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Neom SC scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Al Qadsiah let in goals in 68% of their last 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.33 goals per match.

Solid form: Neom SC remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Neom SC VS Al Qadsiah
1.75 Goals Scored 2.63
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Neom SC

(Home)
17 Oct
Neom SC
0 : 1
Al Ettifaq FC
13 Oct
Neom SC
4 : 0
Al Shabab Hadramaut
10 Oct
Al Hazem Rass
1 : 1
Neom SC
13 Sept
Neom SC
4 : 2
Al Fateh
07 Sept
Al Hilal
0 : 2
Neom SC
Page 1 of 6

Al Qadsiah

(Away)
16 Oct
Al Qadsiah
2 : 1
Abha
12 Oct
Pakhtakor
1 : 1
Al Qadsiah
09 Oct
Al Kholood
0 : 5
Al Qadsiah
14 Sept
Al Qadsiah
2 : 1
Al Wasl
11 Sept
Al Qadsiah
3 : 3
Al Ettifaq FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Hilal 9 8 0 1 27:7 24
2 Al Qadsiah 9 7 1 1 23:9 22
3 Al Nassr 8 6 1 1 19:7 19
4 Al Ahli SC 9 6 0 3 23:12 18
5 Al Ittihad 8 5 2 1 14:9 17
6 Neom SC 9 5 1 3 14:8 16
7 Al Ettifaq FC 9 4 3 2 13:12 15
8 Al Diriyah 9 3 3 3 8:9 12
9 Al Kholood 9 3 3 3 14:18 12
10 Al Khaleej 10 2 6 2 9:13 12
11 Al Hazem Rass 10 2 3 5 10:14 9
12 Al Riyadh 8 2 3 3 9:17 9
13 Al Shabab 9 1 5 3 11:13 8
14 Al Faisaly 9 1 4 4 10:17 7
15 Al Fayha 10 1 4 5 10:17 7
16 Al Fateh 10 1 3 6 9:20 6
17 Al Taawon 9 0 4 5 4:16 4
18 Abha 8 0 2 6 6:15 2
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Division 1 2027/2028 (Main)