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Neots vs Stevenage

World World

Club Friendly 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Piergianni C.
31' Event
Smith K.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2023 game between Neots and Stevenage finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Stevenage.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Neots
20%
Draws
38%
Stevenage
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Neots

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Stevenage come out ahead of Neots on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Stevenage have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Neots Clean Sheet 20%
Stevenage Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Neots Stevenage
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 14
Draws 7 7
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 1.69 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 8, 2023 Club Friendly
Neots vs Stevenage
0:2
Jul 17, 2018 Club Friendly
Neots vs Stevenage
0:3
Jul 18, 2017 Club Friendly
Neots vs Stevenage
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Neots Compare

Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Stevenage Compare

Top Goalscorer Piergianni C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Smith K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.78
Avg xA / game 0.48

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Neots 36 / 100
Stevenage 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Neots Stevenage

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Stevenage Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.67 goals.

Neots's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: Neots stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Stevenage's defensive record shows goals conceded in 55% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Stevenage
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Neots

(Home)
06 Sept
Sporting Club Inkberrow FC
1 : 0
Neots
19 Jul
Neots
1 : 0
Stamford
15 Jul
Neots
2 : 1
Hemel Hempstead
08 Jul
Neots
4 : 2
AFC Dunstable
03 Sept
Barking
3 : 2
Neots
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Stevenage

(Away)
10 Sept
Stevenage
2 : 1
Luton
05 Sept
Barnsley
1 : 5
Stevenage
01 Sept
Peterborough
0 : 0
Stevenage
29 Aug
Stevenage
2 : 2
Doncaster
25 Aug
Stevenage
0 : 3
Reading
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