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Nepal U16 vs Lebanon U16 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Asia Asia

AFC Championship U16 2012
Nepal U16 Logo

Nepal U16

Mon, Sep 12, 2011
VS
09:15 AM
Lebanon U16 Logo

Lebanon U16

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Nepal U16 host Lebanon U16 in the AFC Championship U16 2012. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Recent numbers: Nepal U16 at 0.95 goals for, 2.1 against; Lebanon U16 at 1.13 for, 2.88 against. Past meetings favor Nepal U16 slightly — 0-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 12, 2011, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.88 - 1.88) back Nepal U16 to edge this. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Nepal U16
20%
Draws
40%
Lebanon U16
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Nepal U16 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Lebanon U16 are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Nepal U16 Clean Sheet 10%
Lebanon U16 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nepal U16 Lebanon U16
Matches Played 21 16
Wins 4 3
Draws 5 1
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 0.95 1.13
Goals Conceded 2.1 2.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2011 AFC Championship U16
Nepal U16 vs Lebanon U16
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nepal U16 22 / 100
Lebanon U16 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nepal U16 Lebanon U16

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lebanon U16 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lebanon U16 has conceded goals in 94% of their last 16 outings.

Away concern: Lebanon U16 has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Nepal U16 scored in 52% of their last 21 outings.

H2H data points to 0.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Nepal U16 VS Lebanon U16
0.88 Goals Scored 0.88
2.88 Goals Conceded 2.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Nepal U16

(Home)
06 Sept
India U16
1 : 0
Nepal U16
04 Sept
Nepal U16
0 : 1
Bangladesh U16
22 Sept
Sri Lanka U16
0 : 3
Nepal U16
20 Sept
Nepal U16
0 : 7
Tajikistan U16
16 Sept
Kuwait U16
1 : 1
Nepal U16
Page 1 of 5

Lebanon U16

(Away)
04 Jun
Lebanon U16
2 : 1
Syria U16
02 Jun
Lebanon U16
1 : 1
Syria U16
22 Sept
Lebanon U16
1 : 4
United Arab Emirates U16
20 Sept
Lebanon U16
1 : 2
Iraq U16
18 Sept
Kyrgyzstan U16
3 : 2
Lebanon U16
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Iraq U16 4 3 1 0 17:2 10
2 Iran U16 4 3 1 0 12:1 10
3 Qatar U16 4 2 0 2 9:6 6
4 Palestine U16 4 1 0 3 2:15 3
5 Bangladesh U16 4 0 0 4 0:16 0
Promotion - AFC Championship U16 2012 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Championship U16 2012 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Yemen U16 5 4 1 0 15:2 13
2 Kuwait U16 5 4 0 1 14:3 12
3 United Arab Emirates U16 5 2 2 1 11:5 8
4 Pakistan U16 5 2 0 3 7:9 6
5 Afghanistan U16 5 1 1 3 11:10 4
6 Maldives U16 5 0 0 5 0:29 0
Promotion - AFC Championship U16 2012 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Championship U16 2012 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uzbekistan U16 4 4 0 0 20:1 12
2 India U16 4 3 0 1 13:11 9
3 Bahrain U16 4 1 1 2 7:7 4
4 Tajikistan U16 4 1 1 2 6:8 4
5 Kyrgyzstan U16 4 0 0 4 1:20 0
Promotion - AFC Championship U16 2012 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Championship U16 2012 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Oman U16 3 2 0 1 4:4 6
2 Syria U16 3 2 0 1 5:3 6
3 Saudi Arabia U16 3 1 1 1 5:3 4
4 Nepal U16 3 0 1 2 1:5 1
5 Lebanon U16 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - AFC Championship U16 2012 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Championship U16 2012 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 North Korea U16 4 4 0 0 16:2 12
2 China U16 4 3 0 1 8:3 9
3 Singapore U16 4 1 1 2 10:6 4
4 Malaysia U16 4 1 1 2 5:7 4
5 Timor-Leste U16 4 0 0 4 3:24 0
6 Macau U16 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - AFC Championship U16 2012 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Championship U16 2012 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Japan U16 5 4 0 1 21:6 12
2 South Korea U16 5 3 2 0 23:3 11
3 Laos U16 5 3 1 1 13:6 10
4 Vietnam U16 5 2 1 2 12:9 7
5 Cambodia U16 5 1 0 4 2:25 3
6 Chinese Taipei U16 5 0 0 5 1:23 0
Promotion - AFC Championship U16 2012 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Championship U16 2012 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Thailand U16 5 5 0 0 28:6 15
2 Australia U16 5 4 0 1 22:5 12
3 Indonesia U16 5 3 0 2 26:10 9
4 Myanmar U16 5 2 0 3 13:14 6
5 Hong Kong U16 5 1 0 4 8:14 3
6 Guam U16 5 0 0 5 1:49 0
Promotion - AFC Championship U16 2012 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Championship U16 2012 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams