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Nepal U20 vs Maldives U20

Asia Asia

SAFF Championship U20 2022
Our Tip

Match Events

42' Event
Gurung D.
58' Event
Suwal S.
62' Event
Chhunju K. R.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The SAFF Championship U20 2022 game between Nepal U20 and Maldives U20 finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nepal U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Nepal U20
30%
Draws
37%
Maldives U20
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Maldives U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Nepal U20 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Nepal U20 Clean Sheet 16%
Maldives U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nepal U20 Maldives U20
Matches Played 20 21
Wins 8 3
Draws 2 3
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 1.15 0.9
Goals Conceded 2.35 3.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 27, 2026 SAFF Championship U20
Maldives U20 vs Nepal U20
1:1
Jul 25, 2022 SAFF Championship U20
Nepal U20 vs Maldives U20
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nepal U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Gurung D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Suwal S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Maldives U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nepal U20 30 / 100
Maldives U20 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nepal U20 Maldives U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nepal U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Maldives U20 let in goals in 86% of their last 21 matches.

Attacking prowess: Nepal U20 scored in 65% of their last 20 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Nepal U20 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Nepal U20 VS Maldives U20
0.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 3
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Nepal U20

(Home)
01 Apr
Nepal U20
0 : 1
Bangladesh U20
27 Mar
Maldives U20
1 : 1
Nepal U20
25 Mar
Sri Lanka U20
0 : 1
Nepal U20
23 Mar
Bhutan U20
1 : 2
Nepal U20
27 Sept
Bahrain U20
4 : 0
Nepal U20
Page 1 of 4

Maldives U20

(Away)
06 Sept
Myanmar U20
6 : 0
Maldives U20
03 Sept
Sri Lanka U20
0 : 4
Maldives U20
31 Aug
Maldives U20
2 : 0
Brunei U20
27 Mar
Maldives U20
1 : 1
Nepal U20
25 Mar
Bhutan U20
0 : 0
Maldives U20
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bangladesh U20 4 3 1 0 8:3 10
2 India U20 4 3 0 1 14:2 9
3 Nepal U20 4 2 1 1 8:9 7
4 Maldives U20 4 0 1 3 2:10 1
5 Sri Lanka U20 4 0 1 3 1:9 1
Promotion - SAFF Championship U20 2022 (Play Offs)