Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Nepal U23 vs Bangladesh U23 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Friendly International 2019
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Bal S.
90'

AI Match Summary

Nepal U23 in this Friendly International 2019 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Nepal U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Nepal U23
30%
Draws
70%
Bangladesh U23
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Bangladesh U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Bangladesh U23 at 0.5 per game, Nepal U23 at 0.48.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Bangladesh U23 taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 20.4%
Nepal U23 Clean Sheet 10%
Bangladesh U23 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nepal U23 Bangladesh U23
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 4 4
Draws 1 6
Losses 22 20
Goals Scored 0.48 0.5
Goals Conceded 3 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.26 2.70
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 8, 2019 Friendly International
Nepal U23 vs Bangladesh U23
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nepal U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Bal S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.97
Avg xA / game 0.63

Bangladesh U23 Compare

Avg xG / game 2.45
Avg xA / game 1.5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nepal U23 10 / 100
Bangladesh U23 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nepal U23 Bangladesh U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bangladesh U23 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Bangladesh U23 conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Nepal U23 scored in 26% of their last 27 outings.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Bangladesh U23 has suffered 1 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Nepal U23 VS Bangladesh U23
0.4 Goals Scored 0
4.4 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 50%
100% Over 2.5 38%
100% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Nepal U23

(Home)
09 Sept
Philippines U23
4 : 0
Nepal U23
06 Sept
Nepal U23
2 : 4
Syria U23
03 Sept
Tajikistan U23
4 : 0
Nepal U23
31 Oct
Lebanon U23
4 : 0
Nepal U23
28 Oct
Nepal U23
0 : 6
Tajikistan U23
Page 1 of 6

Bangladesh U23

(Away)
07 Jun
Maldives
1 : 1
Bangladesh U23
04 Jun
Afghanistan
0 : 0
Bangladesh U23
01 Jun
Pakistan
0 : 0
Bangladesh U23
09 Sept
Singapore U23
1 : 4
Bangladesh U23
06 Sept
Bangladesh U23
0 : 1
Yemen U23
Page 1 of 6