Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Nepal U23 vs Syria U23

Asia Asia

AFC Asian Cup U23
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Al Mustafa M.
56' Event
Dhami N.
66' Event
Shrestha K.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-4. The second leg ended 2-4.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Nepal U23
15%
Draws
85%
Syria U23
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Syria U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Syria U23 come out ahead of Nepal U23 on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Syria U23's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Syria U23 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Syria U23, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Nepal U23 Clean Sheet 10%
Syria U23 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nepal U23 Syria U23
Matches Played 27 27
Wins 4 14
Draws 1 3
Losses 22 10
Goals Scored 0.48 1.78
Goals Conceded 3 1.22
Expected Goals (xG) 0.58 2.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2025 AFC Asian Cup U23
Nepal U23 vs Syria U23
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nepal U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Dhami N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Shrestha K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.29

Syria U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Al Mustafa M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Al Rina A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.67
Avg xA / game 1.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nepal U23 10 / 100
Syria U23 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nepal U23 Syria U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Syria U23 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 6.00 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Syria U23 conceded in 70% of 27 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Nepal U23 scored in 26% of their last 27 outings.

Syria U23 lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nepal U23 VS Syria U23
0.67 Goals Scored 1.88
4 Goals Conceded 0.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 50%
100% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Nepal U23

(Home)
09 Sept
Philippines U23
4 : 0
Nepal U23
06 Sept
Nepal U23
2 : 4
Syria U23
03 Sept
Tajikistan U23
4 : 0
Nepal U23
31 Oct
Lebanon U23
4 : 0
Nepal U23
28 Oct
Nepal U23
0 : 6
Tajikistan U23
Page 1 of 6

Syria U23

(Away)
13 Jan
United Arab Emirates U23
1 : 1
Syria U23
10 Jan
Syria U23
1 : 0
Qatar U23
07 Jan
Japan U23
5 : 0
Syria U23
30 Dec
Syria U23
2 : 1
Vietnam U23
26 Dec
South Korea U23
1 : 0
Syria U23
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jordan U23 3 3 0 0 19:1 9
2 Turkmenistan U23 3 2 0 1 8:3 6
3 Bhutan U23 3 1 0 2 3:14 3
4 Chinese Taipei U23 3 0 0 3 2:14 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Japan U23 3 3 0 0 11:2 9
2 Kuwait U23 3 1 1 1 2:6 4
3 Afghanistan U23 3 1 0 2 2:5 3
4 Myanmar U23 3 0 1 2 2:4 1
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vietnam U23 3 3 0 0 4:0 9
2 Yemen U23 3 2 0 1 3:2 6
3 Bangladesh U23 3 1 0 2 4:4 3
4 Singapore U23 3 0 0 3 2:7 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Australia U23 3 2 1 0 20:0 7
2 China U23 3 2 1 0 12:1 7
3 Timor-Leste U23 3 1 0 2 7:8 3
4 Northern Mariana Islands U23 3 0 0 3 0:30 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kyrgyzstan U23 3 2 1 0 10:3 7
2 Uzbekistan U23 3 2 1 0 8:3 7
3 Palestine U23 3 1 0 2 7:4 3
4 Sri Lanka U23 3 0 0 3 0:15 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Thailand U23 3 2 1 0 10:3 7
2 Lebanon U23 3 2 1 0 6:2 7
3 Malaysia U23 3 1 0 2 8:3 3
4 Mongolia U23 3 0 0 3 0:16 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Iraq U23 3 2 1 0 9:1 7
2 Cambodia U23 3 1 2 0 1:0 5
3 Oman U23 3 1 1 1 1:1 4
4 Pakistan U23 3 0 0 3 1:10 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Qatar U23 3 3 0 0 17:2 9
2 India U23 3 2 0 1 9:2 6
3 Bahrain U23 3 1 0 2 11:4 3
4 Brunei U23 3 0 0 3 0:29 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Iran U23 3 3 0 0 13:2 9
2 United Arab Emirates U23 3 2 0 1 17:3 6
3 Hong Kong U23 3 1 0 2 1:6 3
4 Guam U23 3 0 0 3 0:20 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 South Korea U23 3 3 0 0 13:0 9
2 Indonesia U23 3 1 1 1 5:1 4
3 Laos U23 3 1 1 1 3:8 4
4 Macau U23 3 0 0 3 1:13 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 11)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Syria U23 3 3 0 0 7:3 9
2 Philippines U23 3 2 0 1 6:2 6
3 Tajikistan U23 3 1 0 2 4:2 3
4 Nepal U23 3 0 0 3 2:12 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams