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Nepal vs Vietnam - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Asia Asia

Asian Cup Dasharath Rangasala, Kathmandu
Nepal Logo

Nepal

0 - 1
FT
Vietnam Logo

Vietnam

Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Shrestha S.
Own Goal
17'
Sub
Shrestha S. In: Lama M.
Out: Shrestha S.
46'
Sub
Nguyen Hoang Duc In: Nguyen Duc Chien
Out: Nguyen Hoang Duc
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-1. This leg finished 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%
Nepal
20%
Draws
70%
Vietnam
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Vietnam

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Vietnam lately — more wins on the board than Nepal.
  • Model gives Vietnam a 70% chance of winning this.
  • Vietnam arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Vietnam, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Vietnam have won 4 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
Nepal Clean Sheet 10%
Vietnam Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nepal Vietnam
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 7 27
Draws 7 3
Losses 17 2
Goals Scored 0.74 2.75
Goals Conceded 1.68 0.59
Expected Goals (xG) 0.79 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 14, 2025 Asian Cup
Nepal vs Vietnam
0:1
Oct 9, 2025 Asian Cup
Vietnam vs Nepal
3:1
Oct 21, 2003 Asian Cup
Vietnam vs Nepal
2:0
Sep 27, 2003 Asian Cup
Vietnam vs Nepal
5:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nepal 18 / 100
Vietnam 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nepal Vietnam

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vietnam Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Nepal found the back of the net in 48% of recent matches (31 games).

Vietnam let in goals in 47% of their last 32 matches.

Recent resilience: Nepal stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nepal VS Vietnam
0 Goals Scored 3.38
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.38
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Nepal

(Home)
31 Mar
Nepal
0 : 1
Laos
18 Nov
Nepal
0 : 1
Malaysia
13 Nov
Bangladesh
2 : 2
Nepal
14 Oct
Nepal
0 : 1
Vietnam
09 Oct
Vietnam
3 : 1
Nepal
Page 1 of 7

Vietnam

(Away)
05 Oct
Malaysia
1 : 0
Vietnam
02 Oct
Vietnam
4 : 2
Pakistan
29 Sept
Thailand
2 : 0
Vietnam
26 Sept
Vietnam
1 : 0
Philippines
26 Aug
Vietnam
2 : 2
Thailand
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tajikistan 6 4 2 0 14:3 14
2 Philippines 6 4 2 0 16:6 14
3 Maldives 6 1 0 5 3:13 3
4 Timor-Leste 6 1 0 5 4:15 3
Promotion - Asian Cup (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Yemen 6 4 2 0 20:1 14
2 Lebanon 6 4 1 1 14:2 13
3 Bhutan 6 1 1 4 4:16 4
4 Brunei 6 1 0 5 3:22 3
Promotion - Asian Cup (Main)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Singapore 6 4 2 0 8:4 14
2 Hong Kong 6 2 2 2 8:8 8
3 Bangladesh 6 1 2 3 6:8 5
4 India 6 1 2 3 4:6 5
Promotion - Asian Cup (Main)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Thailand 6 5 0 1 16:5 15
2 Turkmenistan 6 4 0 2 11:7 12
3 Sri Lanka 6 3 0 3 8:9 9
4 Chinese Taipei 6 0 0 6 5:19 0
Promotion - Asian Cup (Main)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Syria 6 6 0 0 21:2 18
2 Myanmar 6 4 0 2 8:11 12
3 Afghanistan 6 0 2 4 4:11 2
4 Pakistan 6 0 2 4 2:11 2
Promotion - Asian Cup (Main)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vietnam 6 6 0 0 17:2 18
2 Malaysia 6 3 0 3 10:10 9
3 Laos 6 2 0 4 4:16 6
4 Nepal 6 1 0 5 5:8 3
Promotion - Asian Cup (Main)