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Nepal vs Vietnam

Asia Asia

Asian Cup Dasharath Rangasala, Kathmandu
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Shrestha S.
Own Goal
17'
Sub
Shrestha S. In: Lama M.
Out: Shrestha S.
46'
Sub
Nguyen Hoang Duc In: Nguyen Duc Chien
Out: Nguyen Hoang Duc

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-1. This leg finished 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

6%
Nepal
20%
Draws
74%
Vietnam
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Vietnam

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Vietnam lately — more wins on the board than Nepal.
  • Model gives Vietnam a 74% chance of winning this.
  • Vietnam arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Vietnam, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Vietnam have won 4 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Nepal Clean Sheet 10%
Vietnam Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nepal Vietnam
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 5 25
Draws 6 3
Losses 17 0
Goals Scored 0.61 2.79
Goals Conceded 1.75 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.44 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 14, 2025 Asian Cup
Nepal vs Vietnam
0:1
Oct 9, 2025 Asian Cup
Vietnam vs Nepal
3:1
Oct 21, 2003 Asian Cup
Vietnam vs Nepal
2:0
Sep 27, 2003 Asian Cup
Vietnam vs Nepal
5:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nepal 10 / 100
Vietnam 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nepal Vietnam

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VIE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Nepal found the back of the net in 43% of recent matches (28 games).

Vietnam let in goals in 46% of their last 28 matches.

Recent resilience: Nepal stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nepal VS Vietnam
0.38 Goals Scored 2.75
1 Goals Conceded 0.5
25% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Nepal

(Home)
31 Mar
Nepal
0 : 1
Laos
18 Nov
Nepal
0 : 1
Malaysia
13 Nov
Bangladesh
2 : 2
Nepal
14 Oct
Nepal
0 : 1
Vietnam
09 Oct
Vietnam
3 : 1
Nepal
Page 1 of 6

Vietnam

(Away)
07 Aug
Vietnam
3 : 1
Cambodia
03 Aug
Indonesia
0 : 3
Vietnam
31 Jul
Vietnam
0 : 0
Singapore
24 Jul
Timor-Leste
0 : 7
Vietnam
18 Jul
Vietnam
4 : 0
Myanmar
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tajikistan 6 4 2 0 14:3 14
2 Philippines 6 4 2 0 16:6 14
3 Maldives 6 1 0 5 3:13 3
4 Timor-Leste 6 1 0 5 4:15 3
Promotion - Asian Cup (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Yemen 6 4 2 0 20:1 14
2 Lebanon 6 4 1 1 14:2 13
3 Bhutan 6 1 1 4 4:16 4
4 Brunei 6 1 0 5 3:22 3
Promotion - Asian Cup (Main)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Singapore 6 4 2 0 8:4 14
2 Hong Kong 6 2 2 2 8:8 8
3 Bangladesh 6 1 2 3 6:8 5
4 India 6 1 2 3 4:6 5
Promotion - Asian Cup (Main)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Thailand 6 5 0 1 16:5 15
2 Turkmenistan 6 4 0 2 11:7 12
3 Sri Lanka 6 3 0 3 8:9 9
4 Chinese Taipei 6 0 0 6 5:19 0
Promotion - Asian Cup (Main)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Syria 6 6 0 0 21:2 18
2 Myanmar 6 4 0 2 8:11 12
3 Afghanistan 6 0 2 4 4:11 2
4 Pakistan 6 0 2 4 2:11 2
Promotion - Asian Cup (Main)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vietnam 6 6 0 0 17:2 18
2 Malaysia 6 3 0 3 10:10 9
3 Laos 6 2 0 4 4:16 6
4 Nepal 6 1 0 5 5:8 3
Promotion - Asian Cup (Main)