Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Nepal W vs Bangladesh W

Asia Asia

SAFF Championship Women Pandit Jawaharlal Nehru Stadium (Fatorda), Margao
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Rana G.
45' Event
Chakma R.
90' Event
Sagorika M.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-2. This leg finished 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Nepal W
15%
Draws
34%
Bangladesh W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nepal W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Nepal W have won more games recently than Bangladesh W.
  • Model gives Nepal W a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Nepal W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Bangladesh W, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Nepal W Clean Sheet 68%
Bangladesh W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nepal W Bangladesh W
Matches Played 36 35
Wins 22 15
Draws 4 5
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 2.61 2.14
Goals Conceded 1.03 2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 3, 2026 SAFF Championship Women
Nepal W vs Bangladesh W
1:2
Oct 30, 2024 SAFF Championship Women
Bangladesh W vs Nepal W
2:1
Sep 28, 2023 Asian Games Women
Nepal W vs Bangladesh W
1:1
Jul 16, 2023 Friendly International Women
Bangladesh W vs Nepal W
0:1
Jul 13, 2023 Friendly International Women
Bangladesh W vs Nepal W
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nepal W Compare

Top Goalscorer Rana G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Bangladesh W Compare

Top Goalscorer Chakma R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sagorika M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nepal W 95 / 100
Bangladesh W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nepal W Bangladesh W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nepal W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nepal W scored in 81% of their last 36 games.

Bangladesh W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 35 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Difficult form: Bangladesh W registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nepal W VS Bangladesh W
1.13 Goals Scored 0.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 3
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Nepal W

(Home)
03 Jun
Nepal W
1 : 2
Bangladesh W
31 May
Nepal W
2 : 0
Sri Lanka W
25 May
Bhutan W
0 : 1
Nepal W
02 Dec
Nepal W
0 : 1
Chinese Taipei W
26 Nov
Indonesia W
2 : 1
Nepal W
Page 1 of 8

Bangladesh W

(Away)
21 Sept
Bangladesh W
0 : 0
Myanmar W
17 Sept
Bangladesh W
0 : 6
South Korea W
14 Sept
North Korea W
10 : 0
Bangladesh W
06 Jun
Bangladesh W
1 : 3
India W
03 Jun
Nepal W
1 : 2
Bangladesh W
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Nepal W 1
Bangladesh W 2
India W 1
Bhutan W 0
Final
Bangladesh W 1
India W 3