Sport Picks
Neptunas vs Dziugas Telsiai - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Lithuania
Lithuanian Cup Klaipedosmiesto Centrinis, Klaipeda 
Match Events
83'
83'
Asomugha B.
88'
88'
Sobowale R.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 0-2. The second leg ended 0-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
73%
15%
12%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Neptunas
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
73%
/ High Confidence
- Neptunas carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Neptunas's way, sitting at 90%.
- Neptunas have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Dziugas Telsiai, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Neptunas Clean Sheet 20%
Dziugas Telsiai Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Neptunas | Dziugas Telsiai |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 16 | 13 |
| Draws | 3 | 7 |
| Losses | 12 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.23 | 1.27 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.16 | 1.23 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 22, 2026 Lithuanian Cup
Neptunas vs Dziugas Telsiai
0:2
Feb 8, 2025 Club Friendly
Dziugas Telsiai vs Neptunas
0:1
Feb 8, 2023 Club Friendly
Neptunas vs Dziugas Telsiai
1:1
Nov 30, 2022 TOPLYGA
Dziugas Telsiai vs Neptunas
1:0
Nov 27, 2022 TOPLYGA
Neptunas vs Dziugas Telsiai
0:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Neptunas Compare
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Dziugas Telsiai Compare
Top Goalscorer Asomugha B.
1 Goals Assists Leader Sobowale R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Neptunas 85 / 100
Dziugas Telsiai 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Neptunas Dziugas Telsiai
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Neptunas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Neptunas's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 31 recent games.
Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.
Dziugas Telsiai's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.
Defensive concern: Dziugas Telsiai conceded in 57% of 30 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Neptunas VS Dziugas Telsiai
1.25 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Neptunas
(Home) 19 Sept
FK Minija
2 : 1 Neptunas
11 Sept
Neptunas
2 : 0 Jonava
07 Sept
Zalgiris 2
1 : 0 Neptunas
29 Aug
Neptunas
3 : 1 FK Atmosfera
22 Aug
BFA Vilnius
2 : 0 Neptunas
Page 1 of 7
11 Sept
Neptunas
2 : 0 Jonava
29 Aug
Neptunas
3 : 1 FK Atmosfera
15 Aug
Neptunas
0 : 4 FK Babrungas
25 Jul
Neptunas
2 : 1 Siauliai 2
18 Jun
Neptunas
2 : 1 FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
Page 1 of 3
Dziugas Telsiai
(Away) 19 Sept
Banga
2 : 0 Dziugas Telsiai
06 Sept
FK Kauno Zalgiris
5 : 0 Dziugas Telsiai
31 Aug
Dziugas Telsiai
2 : 2 FC Hegelmann
23 Aug
Zalgiris
2 : 0 Dziugas Telsiai
17 Aug
Dziugas Telsiai
0 : 2 Suduva
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Banga
2 : 0 Dziugas Telsiai
06 Sept
FK Kauno Zalgiris
5 : 0 Dziugas Telsiai
23 Aug
Zalgiris
2 : 0 Dziugas Telsiai
09 Aug
FA Siauliai
3 : 4 Dziugas Telsiai
03 Aug
FK Panevezys
1 : 1 Dziugas Telsiai
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Pempininkai 2
Sirijus 1
FK Minija 3
Suduva 2
FK Atmosfera 2
Zalgiris 1
SSPC FSK Radviliskis 0
FK Panevezys 2
Klaipedos FM 1
BE1 NFA 0
Viltis Vilnius 1
Dainava Alytus 7
Kursenai 1
Transinvest 10
Tauras Taurage 1
FC Hegelmann 4
Ataka Vilnius 4
FK Sirvena Birzai 0
Jonava 0
FA Siauliai 4
Neptunas 0
Dziugas Telsiai 2
Vilniaus Vytis 0
Banga 4
BFA Vilnius 1
FK Babrungas 0
AFK Vilnius 0
Garliava 3
Vilnius FA 0
Riteriai 1
FK Sveikata Kybartai 0
FK Kauno Zalgiris 3
1/8-finals
Pempininkai 1
FK Minija 4
FK Atmosfera 0
FK Panevezys 3
Klaipedos FM 0
Dainava Alytus 2
Transinvest 2
FC Hegelmann 0
Ataka Vilnius 1
FA Siauliai 2
Dziugas Telsiai 1
Banga 0
BFA Vilnius 2
Garliava 1
Riteriai 0
FK Kauno Zalgiris 4
Quarter-finals
FK Minija 2
FK Panevezys 1
Dainava Alytus 2
Transinvest 1
FA Siauliai 2
Dziugas Telsiai 1
BFA Vilnius 0
FK Kauno Zalgiris 3
Semi-finals
FK Minija 3
Dainava Alytus 2
FA Siauliai 0
FK Kauno Zalgiris 1
Final
FK Minija -
FK Kauno Zalgiris -
