Sport Picks

Lithuania

I Lyga 2025 Klaipedosmiesto Centrinis

Neptunas

1 - 0

Nevezis Kedainiai

Our Tip

Match Events

21'

Diawara H.

51'

Ankudinovas A.

55'

Sub

Hevlych T. In: Omokhoa D.

Out: Hevlych T.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neptunas in this I Lyga 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Neptunas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Neptunas

Draws

Nevezis Kedainiai

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Neptunas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Nevezis Kedainiai haven't matched Neptunas's recent run of results.
Model gives Neptunas a 90% chance of winning this.
Regular I Lyga 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
These two have met 5 times recently and Neptunas have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 3%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%

Neptunas Clean Sheet 20%

Nevezis Kedainiai Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Neptunas	Nevezis Kedainiai
Matches Played	33	30
Wins	20	7
Draws	4	4
Losses	9	19
Goals Scored	0.38	0
Goals Conceded	1.25	0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2025 I Lyga

Neptunas vs Nevezis Kedainiai

Possession: 55% - 50% Cards: 3 - 3

1:0

May 17, 2025 I Lyga

Nevezis Kedainiai vs Neptunas

Possession: 47% - 45% Cards: 1 - 0

0:4

Oct 11, 2024 I Lyga

Neptunas vs Nevezis Kedainiai

Possession: 44% - 58% Cards: 2 - 2

0:1

May 24, 2024 I Lyga

Nevezis Kedainiai vs Neptunas

Possession: 44% - 55% Cards: 2 - 1

0:2

Oct 28, 2023 I Lyga

Nevezis Kedainiai vs Neptunas

Possession: 58% - 53% Cards: 2 - 3

0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Neptunas Compare

Top Goalscorer Omokhoa D.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.29

Avg xA / game 0.19

Nevezis Kedainiai Compare

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Neptunas 85 / 100

Nevezis Kedainiai 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Neptunas Nevezis Kedainiai

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NEP Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nevezis Kedainiai has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Neptunas found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (33 games).

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Neptunas has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Neptunas VS -

0.38 Goals Scored 0

1.25 Goals Conceded 0

38% Over 1.5 0%

38% Over 2.5 0%

13% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Transinvest	30	26	1	3	87:22	79
2	Neptunas	30	21	4	5	68:27	67
3	Tauras Taurage	30	18	8	4	56:22	62
4	FK Babrungas	30	17	7	6	64:43	58
5	BFA Vilnius	30	16	7	7	47:36	55
6	FK Atmosfera	30	14	6	10	52:34	48
7	Zalgiris 2	30	11	9	10	50:48	42
8	Jonava	30	11	9	10	26:25	42
9	FK Minija	30	11	3	16	27:46	36
10	Hegelmann Litauen 2	30	8	7	15	35:51	31
11	BE1 NFA	30	8	6	16	35:51	30
12	Ekranas	30	9	2	19	37:58	29
13	FK Kauno Zalgiris 2	30	8	3	19	43:57	27
14	Siauliai 2	30	8	2	20	41:71	26
15	Nevezis Kedainiai	30	7	5	18	32:58	26
16	FK Panevezys 2	30	6	3	21	30:81	21