Sport Picks

Poland

III Liga - Group VI

Ner Poddebice

2 - 6

Tomaszow Mazowiecki

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group VI game between Ner Poddebice and Tomaszow Mazowiecki finished 2-6, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tomaszow Mazowiecki.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

Ner Poddebice

40%

Draws

29%

Tomaszow Mazowiecki

Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence

Tomaszow Mazowiecki carry the better recent record into this one.
40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%

Ner Poddebice Clean Sheet 10%

Tomaszow Mazowiecki Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Ner Poddebice	Tomaszow Mazowiecki
Matches Played	30	48
Wins	4	26
Draws	5	8
Losses	21	14
Goals Scored	0	2.63
Goals Conceded	0	1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 7, 2016 III Liga - Group VI

Ner Poddebice vs Tomaszow Mazowiecki

Possession: 48% - 44% Cards: 3 - 3

2:6

Oct 4, 2015 III Liga - Group VI

Tomaszow Mazowiecki vs Ner Poddebice

Possession: 47% - 41% Cards: 1 - 2

1:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ner Poddebice 30 / 100

Tomaszow Mazowiecki 28 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Ner Poddebice Tomaszow Mazowiecki

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 6.00 goals per match.

Tomaszow Mazowiecki's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 48 matches.

Away concern: Tomaszow Mazowiecki has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Ner Poddebice's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Tomaszow Mazowiecki

0 Goals Scored 2.63

0 Goals Conceded 1.38

0% Over 1.5 88%

0% Over 2.5 63%

0% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Polonia Warszawa	34	21	5	8	62:25	68
2	Ursus Warszawa	34	19	8	7	56:26	65
3	Sokol Aleksandrow Lodz	34	18	11	5	53:24	65
4	Tomaszow Mazowiecki	34	19	8	7	79:37	65
5	Legia II	34	19	8	7	66:38	65
6	LKS Lodz	34	19	7	8	71:37	64
7	Pelikan	34	18	10	6	58:29	64
8	Swit Mazowiecki	34	17	12	5	61:27	63
9	Blekitni Raciaz	34	15	8	11	56:52	53
10	Warta Sieradz	34	12	7	15	43:46	43
11	Bron Radom	34	9	10	15	51:70	37
12	Warta Dzialoszyn	34	10	5	19	33:82	35
13	Pilica Bialobrzegi	34	10	4	20	48:60	34
14	Oskar Przysucha	34	7	8	19	42:78	29
15	Energia Kozienice	34	6	9	19	41:64	27
16	Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki	34	6	9	19	36:60	27
17	Otwock	34	6	4	24	24:86	22
18	Ner Poddebice	34	4	9	21	31:70	21