Sport Picks
Match Events
37'
37'
Lawal S.
58'
58'
Milicevic P.
77'
77'
Prevljak S.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 1-2, with Istra 1961 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
42%
30%
28%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Neretva
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
42%
/ Low Confidence
- Neretva carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Neretva a 42% chance of winning this.
- Neretva have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Istra 1961, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Neretva Clean Sheet 68%
Istra 1961 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Neretva | Istra 1961 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 14 | 9 |
| Draws | 5 | 8 |
| Losses | 11 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.43 | 1.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.17 | 1.48 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.94 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 16, 2025 Croatian Cup
Neretva vs Istra 1961
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Neretva Compare
Top Goalscorer Milicevic P.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 2.26
Avg xA / game 1.47
Istra 1961 Compare
Top Goalscorer Lawal S.
1 Goals Assists Leader Prevljak S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Neretva 68 / 100
Istra 1961 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Neretva Istra 1961
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Neretva Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Neretva scored in 70% of their last 30 games.
Defensive concern: Istra 1961 conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Neretva stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Neretva VS Istra 1961
5 Goals Scored 1.5
2 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 50%
100% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Neretva
(Home) 22 Aug
Neretva
5 : 2 Otocac
16 Sept
Neretva
1 : 2 Istra 1961
27 Aug
Neretva
6 : 2 Zadrugar Oprisavci
31 Aug
Neretva
0 : 2 Grobnican
28 May
Neretva
1 : 0 Kamen Podbablje
Page 1 of 6
22 Aug
Neretva
5 : 2 Otocac
16 Sept
Neretva
1 : 2 Istra 1961
27 Aug
Neretva
6 : 2 Zadrugar Oprisavci
31 Aug
Neretva
0 : 2 Grobnican
28 May
Neretva
1 : 0 Kamen Podbablje
Page 1 of 4
Istra 1961
(Away) 04 Sept
Varazdin
0 : 0 Istra 1961
29 Aug
Istra 1961
2 : 2 Din. Zagreb
23 Aug
Rijeka
3 : 2 Istra 1961
15 Aug
Istra 1961
3 : 0 Slaven Belupo
09 Aug
Hajduk Split
2 : 2 Istra 1961
Page 1 of 6
04 Sept
Varazdin
0 : 0 Istra 1961
23 Aug
Rijeka
3 : 2 Istra 1961
09 Aug
Hajduk Split
2 : 2 Istra 1961
25 Jul
Lecce
2 : 2 Istra 1961
18 Jul
Udinese
2 : 2 Istra 1961
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Radnik Krizevci 5
Drnis 0
TBD -
Mladost Zdralovi -
Maksimir 3
Jadran Porec 2
TBD -
Rijeka -
Nehaj Senj 1
Vukovar 1991 2
TBD -
Cibalia -
NK Koprivnica 1
Pitomaca 0
TBD -
Hajduk Split -
Slavonija Pozega 1
Marsonia 0
TBD -
Bijelo Brdo -
NK Radnicki Dalj 0
Granicar Kotoriba 2
TBD -
Slaven Belupo -
Jedinstvo (DM) 0
Dugo Selo 3
TBD -
Lok. Zagreb -
Varteks Varazdin (2011) 3
Moslavina 0
TBD -
Sibenik -
Spansko 0
Gaj Mace 1
TBD -
Varazdin -
Uljanik Pula 2
Bjelovar 0
TBD -
Osijek -
Belica 1
Solin 4
TBD -
Rudes -
NK Libertas Novska 2
Opatija 1
TBD -
HNK Gorica -
Bednja Beletinec 1
Karlovac 4
TBD -
Belisce -
Bedem Ivankovo 3
NK Dinamo Predavac 5
TBD -
Din. Zagreb -
Zemunik 2
Kurilovec 12
TBD -
Oriolik -
Neretva 6
Zadrugar Oprisavci 2
TBD -
Istra 1961 -
1/16-finals
Radnik Krizevci 0
Mladost Zdralovi 1
Maksimir 0
Rijeka 4
Vukovar 1991 0
Cibalia 1
NK Koprivnica 1
Hajduk Split 4
Slavonija Pozega 0
Bijelo Brdo 2
Granicar Kotoriba 0
Slaven Belupo 5
Dugo Selo 0
Lok. Zagreb 4
Varteks Varazdin (2011) 4
Sibenik 1
Gaj Mace 1
Varazdin 7
Uljanik Pula 0
Osijek 4
Solin 1
Rudes 2
NK Libertas Novska 1
HNK Gorica 3
Karlovac 5
Belisce 0
NK Dinamo Predavac 0
Din. Zagreb 6
Kurilovec 5
Oriolik 0
Neretva 1
Istra 1961 2
1/8-finals
Mladost Zdralovi 1
Rijeka 4
Cibalia 0
Hajduk Split 1
Bijelo Brdo 0
Slaven Belupo 3
Lok. Zagreb 4
Varteks Varazdin (2011) 0
Varazdin 2
Osijek 1
Rudes 0
HNK Gorica 6
Karlovac 0
Din. Zagreb 7
Kurilovec 2
Istra 1961 1
Quarter-finals
Rijeka 3
Hajduk Split 2
Slaven Belupo 2
Lok. Zagreb 1
Varazdin 1
HNK Gorica 3
Din. Zagreb 2
Kurilovec 0
Semi-finals
Rijeka 2
Slaven Belupo 0
HNK Gorica 3
Din. Zagreb 6
Final
Rijeka 0
Din. Zagreb 2
