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Neretva vs OSK Otok - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Croatia Croatia

3. HNL South
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this 3. HNL South matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Neretva
15%
Draws
37%
OSK Otok
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Neretva

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Neretva have won more games recently than OSK Otok.
  • Neretva are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Neretva Clean Sheet 17%
OSK Otok Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Neretva OSK Otok
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 15 6
Draws 5 4
Losses 11 20
Goals Scored 1.52 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.19 2.63
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 9, 2022 3. HNL South
Neretva vs OSK Otok
1:1
Oct 8, 2021 3. HNL South
OSK Otok vs Neretva
2:4
Jun 5, 2021 3. HNL South
Neretva vs OSK Otok
3:0
Nov 21, 2020 3. HNL South
OSK Otok vs Neretva
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Neretva 84 / 100
OSK Otok 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Neretva OSK Otok

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Neretva Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: OSK Otok conceded in 93% of 30 recent games.

Neretva scored in 71% of their last 31 games.

H2H data points to 2.75 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Neretva remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Neretva VS OSK Otok
1.5 Goals Scored 1.75
1 Goals Conceded 2.63
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Neretva

(Home)
22 Aug
Neretva
5 : 2
Otocac
16 Sept
Neretva
1 : 2
Istra 1961
27 Aug
Neretva
6 : 2
Zadrugar Oprisavci
31 Aug
Neretva
0 : 2
Grobnican
28 May
Neretva
1 : 0
Kamen Podbablje
Page 1 of 7

OSK Otok

(Away)
28 May
OSK Otok
2 : 1
Zmaj Makarska
22 May
Neretvanac
1 : 1
OSK Otok
14 May
OSK Otok
3 : 4
Urania Baska Voda
07 May
NK Junak Sinj
2 : 1
OSK Otok
01 May
OSK Otok
4 : 1
Kamen Podbablje
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jadran Luka Ploce 34 20 5 9 67:28 65
2 Hrvatski Vitez Posedarje 34 18 6 10 56:38 60
3 Hrvace 34 18 6 10 46:39 60
4 HNK Zadar 34 16 11 7 69:28 59
5 Neretva 34 16 7 11 50:36 55
6 RNK Split 34 15 7 12 52:40 52
7 NK Junak Sinj 34 16 4 14 49:46 52
8 Uskok Klis 34 15 6 13 51:54 51
9 Sloga Mravince 34 12 14 8 48:45 50
10 Primorac Biograd 34 14 6 14 60:56 48
11 Zagora 34 12 8 14 47:52 44
12 GOSK Dubrovnik 34 11 10 13 35:34 43
13 Zmaj Makarska 34 11 10 13 28:39 43
14 Neretvanac 34 10 8 16 40:53 38
15 Kamen Podbablje 34 9 10 15 37:51 37
16 Vodice 34 8 9 17 44:73 33
17 Urania Baska Voda 34 10 3 21 33:65 33
18 OSK Otok 34 6 8 20 48:83 26
Promotion - Prva NL 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - 3. HNL - Promotion Play Offs (Main)