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Neretva vs Otocac - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Croatia Croatia

Croatian Cup
Sat, Aug 22, 2026
5 - 2
02:30 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Milicevic P.
Own Goal
66' Event
Maric M.
81' Event
Vujicic A.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 5-2. This leg finished 5-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Neretva
25%
Draws
35%
Otocac
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Neretva

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Otocac haven't matched Neretva's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Neretva a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Neretva have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Neretva, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Neretva Clean Sheet 17%
Otocac Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Neretva Otocac
Matches Played 30 2
Wins 14 0
Draws 5 0
Losses 11 2
Goals Scored 1.43 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.17 4.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.94 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Croatian Cup
Neretva vs Otocac
5:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Neretva Compare

Top Goalscorer Maric M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Brajkovic P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.26
Avg xA / game 1.47

Otocac Compare

Top Goalscorer Vujicic A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Neretva 84 / 100
Otocac 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Neretva Otocac

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Neretva Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Otocac let in goals in 100% of their last 2 matches.

These sides typically produce 7.00 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Neretva scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Neretva has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Neretva VS Otocac
0.88 Goals Scored 2
0.75 Goals Conceded 5
38% Over 1.5 100%
13% Over 2.5 100%
13% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Neretva

(Home)
22 Aug
Neretva
5 : 2
Otocac
16 Sept
Neretva
1 : 2
Istra 1961
27 Aug
Neretva
6 : 2
Zadrugar Oprisavci
31 Aug
Neretva
0 : 2
Grobnican
28 May
Neretva
1 : 0
Kamen Podbablje
Page 1 of 6

Otocac

(Away)
22 Aug
Neretva
5 : 2
Otocac
24 Aug
NK Libertas Novska
4 : 1
Otocac

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Bjelovar -
TBD -
Tigar Sveta Nedelja 1
Karlovac 4
Vrbovec 4
Daruvar 1
TBD -
Rijeka -
Vukovar 1991 4
NK Radnicki Dalj 1
TBD -
Cibalia -
Varteks Varazdin (2011) 2
Bedem Ivankovo 3
TBD -
Din. Zagreb -
Slavonija Pozega 3
Moslavina 0
TBD -
Oriolik -
Vardarac Vardaroc 3
Liznjan 1
TBD -
Hajduk Split -
Orijent 3
Radnik Krizevci 1
TBD -
Mladost Zdralovi -
NK Dinamo Predavac 0
Dragovoljac 2
TBD -
Slaven Belupo -
Kustosija 3
HNK Zadar 1
TBD -
Bijelo Brdo -
Uskok Klis 3
Podravina Ludbreg 0
TBD -
HNK Gorica -
NK Svacic Stari Slatnik 2
NK Koprivnica 3
TBD -
Rudes -
Slatina 0
Segesta 18
TBD -
Osijek -
Zagora 4
Bratstvo Jurovec 2
TBD -
Varazdin -
Tomislav DA 4
Uljanik Pula 0
TBD -
Lok. Zagreb -
Granicar Kotoriba 1
Zagorec Krapina 2
TBD -
Istra 1961 -
Neretva 5
Otocac 2
TBD -
TBD -
1/16-finals
Bjelovar 0
Karlovac 2
Vrbovec 0
Rijeka 6
Vukovar 1991 1
Cibalia 0
Bedem Ivankovo 0
Din. Zagreb 4
Slavonija Pozega 4
Oriolik 0
Vardarac Vardaroc 0
Hajduk Split 2
Orijent 2
Mladost Zdralovi 3
Dragovoljac 0
Slaven Belupo 5
Kustosija 1
Bijelo Brdo 2
Uskok Klis 1
HNK Gorica 3
NK Koprivnica 2
Rudes 3
Segesta 3
Osijek 1
Zagora 0
Varazdin 4
Tomislav DA 0
Lok. Zagreb 2
Zagorec Krapina 0
Istra 1961 5
Neretva -
TBD -
1/8-finals
Karlovac 1
Rijeka 4
Vukovar 1991 0
Din. Zagreb 4
Slavonija Pozega -
Hajduk Split -
Mladost Zdralovi -
Slaven Belupo -
Bijelo Brdo -
HNK Gorica -
Rudes -
Segesta -
Varazdin -
Lok. Zagreb -
Istra 1961 -
Neretva -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -