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Neretvanac vs OSK Otok

Croatia Croatia

3. HNL South
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The 3. HNL South game between Neretvanac and OSK Otok finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Neretvanac
20%
Draws
51%
OSK Otok
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: OSK Otok

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Neretvanac come out ahead of OSK Otok on wins alone.
  • Model gives Neretvanac a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Neretvanac Clean Sheet 10%
OSK Otok Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Neretvanac OSK Otok
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 6
Draws 6 4
Losses 17 20
Goals Scored 0.97 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.7 2.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 22, 2022 3. HNL South
Neretvanac vs OSK Otok
1:1
Nov 20, 2021 3. HNL South
OSK Otok vs Neretvanac
2:1
Apr 28, 2021 3. HNL South
Neretvanac vs OSK Otok
4:1
Oct 10, 2020 3. HNL South
OSK Otok vs Neretvanac
1:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Neretvanac 34 / 100
OSK Otok 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Neretvanac OSK Otok

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

OSK Otok has conceded goals in 93% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 3.75 goals.

Neretvanac found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Neretvanac has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Neretvanac VS OSK Otok
1 Goals Scored 1.63
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.63
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Neretvanac

(Home)
18 Sept
Neretvanac
1 : 3
Rijeka
28 Aug
Neretvanac
2 : 0
Bedem Ivankovo
28 May
Jadran Luka Ploce
5 : 0
Neretvanac
22 May
Neretvanac
1 : 1
OSK Otok
14 May
Primorac Biograd
2 : 1
Neretvanac
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OSK Otok

(Away)
28 May
OSK Otok
2 : 1
Zmaj Makarska
22 May
Neretvanac
1 : 1
OSK Otok
14 May
OSK Otok
3 : 4
Urania Baska Voda
07 May
NK Junak Sinj
2 : 1
OSK Otok
01 May
OSK Otok
4 : 1
Kamen Podbablje
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jadran Luka Ploce 34 20 5 9 67:28 65
2 Hrvatski Vitez Posedarje 34 18 6 10 56:38 60
3 Hrvace 34 18 6 10 46:39 60
4 HNK Zadar 34 16 11 7 69:28 59
5 Neretva 34 16 7 11 50:36 55
6 RNK Split 34 15 7 12 52:40 52
7 NK Junak Sinj 34 16 4 14 49:46 52
8 Uskok Klis 34 15 6 13 51:54 51
9 Sloga Mravince 34 12 14 8 48:45 50
10 Primorac Biograd 34 14 6 14 60:56 48
11 Zagora 34 12 8 14 47:52 44
12 GOSK Dubrovnik 34 11 10 13 35:34 43
13 Zmaj Makarska 34 11 10 13 28:39 43
14 Neretvanac 34 10 8 16 40:53 38
15 Kamen Podbablje 34 9 10 15 37:51 37
16 Vodice 34 8 9 17 44:73 33
17 Urania Baska Voda 34 10 3 21 33:65 33
18 OSK Otok 34 6 8 20 48:83 26
Promotion - Prva NL 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - 3. HNL - Promotion Play Offs (Main)