Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Neretvanac vs Sloga Mravince

Croatia Croatia

3. HNL South
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The 3. HNL South game between Neretvanac and Sloga Mravince finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sloga Mravince.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Neretvanac
30%
Draws
47%
Sloga Mravince
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sloga Mravince

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Neretvanac haven't matched Sloga Mravince's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Sloga Mravince a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Regular 3. HNL South form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Neretvanac Clean Sheet 10%
Sloga Mravince Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Neretvanac Sloga Mravince
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 7 11
Draws 6 11
Losses 16 8
Goals Scored 0.97 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.69 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 16, 2022 3. HNL South
Neretvanac vs Sloga Mravince
1:2
Oct 17, 2021 3. HNL South
Sloga Mravince vs Neretvanac
1:0
Mar 21, 2021 3. HNL South
Sloga Mravince vs Neretvanac
0:0
Aug 30, 2020 3. HNL South
Neretvanac vs Sloga Mravince
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Neretvanac 10 / 100
Sloga Mravince 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Neretvanac Sloga Mravince

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sloga Mravince Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Neretvanac scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Sloga Mravince has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 1.25 goals.

Neretvanac went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Neretvanac VS Sloga Mravince
1.13 Goals Scored 1.75
2 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Neretvanac

(Home)
18 Sept
Neretvanac
1 : 3
Rijeka
28 Aug
Neretvanac
2 : 0
Bedem Ivankovo
28 May
Jadran Luka Ploce
5 : 0
Neretvanac
22 May
Neretvanac
1 : 1
OSK Otok
14 May
Primorac Biograd
2 : 1
Neretvanac
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Sloga Mravince

(Away)
16 Aug
Sloga Mravince
2 : 1
Sibenik
01 Aug
Solin
1 : 1
Sloga Mravince
28 Jul
Omladinac Vranjic
0 : 5
Sloga Mravince
28 May
Zagora
3 : 3
Sloga Mravince
22 May
Sloga Mravince
1 : 2
Hrvace
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jadran Luka Ploce 34 20 5 9 67:28 65
2 Hrvatski Vitez Posedarje 34 18 6 10 56:38 60
3 Hrvace 34 18 6 10 46:39 60
4 HNK Zadar 34 16 11 7 69:28 59
5 Neretva 34 16 7 11 50:36 55
6 RNK Split 34 15 7 12 52:40 52
7 NK Junak Sinj 34 16 4 14 49:46 52
8 Uskok Klis 34 15 6 13 51:54 51
9 Sloga Mravince 34 12 14 8 48:45 50
10 Primorac Biograd 34 14 6 14 60:56 48
11 Zagora 34 12 8 14 47:52 44
12 GOSK Dubrovnik 34 11 10 13 35:34 43
13 Zmaj Makarska 34 11 10 13 28:39 43
14 Neretvanac 34 10 8 16 40:53 38
15 Kamen Podbablje 34 9 10 15 37:51 37
16 Vodice 34 8 9 17 44:73 33
17 Urania Baska Voda 34 10 3 21 33:65 33
18 OSK Otok 34 6 8 20 48:83 26
Promotion - Prva NL 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - 3. HNL - Promotion Play Offs (Main)