Sport Picks

NEROCA vs Indian Navy - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

India

Durand Cup

NEROCA

0 - 2

Indian Navy

Our Tip

Match Events

23'

Panna R.

65'

Inayath M.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-2. The second leg ended 0-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

NEROCA

20%

Draws

44%

Indian Navy

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Indian Navy

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence

NEROCA carry the better recent record into this one.
Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
NEROCA have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Indian Navy, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 3%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%

NEROCA Clean Sheet 19%

Indian Navy Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	NEROCA	Indian Navy
Matches Played	29	23
Wins	7	4
Draws	7	3
Losses	15	16
Goals Scored	1.14	0.83
Goals Conceded	1.66	1.91
Expected Goals (xG)	0.94	1.26
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 5, 2026 Durand Cup

NEROCA vs Indian Navy

0:2

Aug 7, 2025 Durand Cup

NEROCA vs Indian Navy

0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

NEROCA Compare

Avg xG / game 0.72

Avg xA / game 0.47

Indian Navy Compare

Top Goalscorer Panna R.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Inayath M.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.15

Avg xA / game 0.7

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

NEROCA 36 / 100

Indian Navy 21 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

NEROCA Indian Navy

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Indian Navy Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Indian Navy conceded in 87% of 23 recent games.

NEROCA scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Recent resilience: NEROCA stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Away concern: Indian Navy has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

NEROCA VS Indian Navy

0.88 Goals Scored 1.14

1.38 Goals Conceded 1

75% Over 1.5 71%

50% Over 2.5 57%

13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

NEROCA

(Home)

12 Aug

NEROCA

3 : 1

Raengdai

05 Aug

NEROCA

0 : 2

Indian Navy

28 Jul

TRAU FC

0 : 0

NEROCA

14 May

NEROCA

1 : 3

Sudeva Delhi

08 May

NEROCA

2 : 2

Karbi Anglong

Page 1 of 6

Indian Navy

(Away)

09 Aug

TRAU FC

2 : 1

Indian Navy

05 Aug

NEROCA

0 : 2

Indian Navy

30 Jul

Raengdai

1 : 0

Indian Navy

16 Aug

Lajong

2 : 1

Indian Navy

12 Aug

TRAU FC

1 : 2

Indian Navy

Page 1 of 5