Sport Picks

India

Durand Cup 2025

NEROCA

1 - 3

Real Kashmir

Our Tip

Match Events

32'

Singh S.

67'

da Silva Chagas L.

70'

Tareck Marat D.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Real Kashmir in this Durand Cup 2025 tie, finishing 1-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%

NEROCA

20%

Draws

56%

Real Kashmir

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Real Kashmir

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence

NEROCA haven't matched Real Kashmir's recent run of results.
Win probability leans Real Kashmir's way, sitting at 80%.
Real Kashmir arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Real Kashmir, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Real Kashmir have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 11%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%

NEROCA Clean Sheet 12%

Real Kashmir Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	NEROCA	Real Kashmir
Matches Played	29	28
Wins	7	13
Draws	7	5
Losses	15	10
Goals Scored	1.14	1.61
Goals Conceded	1.66	1.39
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 10, 2025 Durand Cup

NEROCA vs Real Kashmir

1:3

Mar 30, 2024 I-League

Real Kashmir vs NEROCA

3:0

Nov 23, 2023 I-League

NEROCA vs Real Kashmir

0:4

Feb 11, 2023 I-League

Real Kashmir vs NEROCA

2:2

Nov 13, 2022 I-League

NEROCA vs Real Kashmir

0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

NEROCA Compare

Top Goalscorer da Silva Chagas L.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.06

Avg xA / game 0.69

Real Kashmir Compare

Top Goalscorer Singh S.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Tareck Marat D.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.59

Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

NEROCA 11 / 100

Real Kashmir 74 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

NEROCA Real Kashmir

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Real Kashmir Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Real Kashmir's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 28 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Attacking prowess: NEROCA scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Recent resilience: NEROCA stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

NEROCA VS Real Kashmir

1.38 Goals Scored 1.63

1.88 Goals Conceded 1.38

75% Over 1.5 75%

63% Over 2.5 63%

38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

NEROCA

(Home)

12 Aug

NEROCA

3 : 1

Raengdai

05 Aug

NEROCA

0 : 2

Indian Navy

28 Jul

TRAU FC

0 : 0

NEROCA

14 May

NEROCA

1 : 3

Sudeva Delhi

08 May

NEROCA

2 : 2

Karbi Anglong

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Real Kashmir

(Away)

11 May

Aizawl FC

1 : 2

Real Kashmir

04 May

Real Kashmir

0 : 3

Namdhari

30 Apr

Real Kashmir

3 : 0

Gokulam

19 Apr

Real Kashmir

2 : 0

Sreenidi Deccan

12 Apr

Real Kashmir

6 : 2

Gokulam

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