Sport Picks

Stadium Background

NEROCA vs SAT Tirur

India India

I-League 2 2024/2025 Khuman Lampak Main Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Senthamizhi S.
67'
Ronaldo N.
67'
Ronaldo N.

AI Match Summary

SAT Tirur in this I-League 2 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored SAT Tirur.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
NEROCA
44%
Draws
20%
SAT Tirur
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • SAT Tirur have won more games recently than NEROCA.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular I-League 2 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
NEROCA Clean Sheet 13%
SAT Tirur Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric NEROCA SAT Tirur
Matches Played 27 24
Wins 6 10
Draws 6 6
Losses 15 8
Goals Scored 1.13 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.63 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2025 I-League 2
NEROCA vs SAT Tirur
0:1
Feb 12, 2025 I-League 2
SAT Tirur vs NEROCA
5:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

NEROCA Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

SAT Tirur Compare

Top Goalscorer Senthamizhi S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

NEROCA 35 / 100
SAT Tirur 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
NEROCA SAT Tirur

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAT Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

NEROCA's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Defensive concern: SAT Tirur conceded in 67% of 24 recent games.

NEROCA has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

NEROCA VS SAT Tirur
1.13 Goals Scored 1.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Diamond Harbour16115028:1038
2Chanmari16103336:1033
3SC Goa1675418:1226
4Bengaluru United1665521:1123
5SAT Tirur1664621:2322
6United SC1656515:1721
7NEROCA1652917:2717
8TRAU FC16331014:3012
9KLASA1621138:387