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Stadium Background

NEROCA vs SAT Tirur

India India

I-League 2 2024/2025 Khuman Lampak Main Stadium, Imphal
NEROCA Logo

NEROCA

0 - 1
FT
SAT Tirur Logo

SAT Tirur

Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Senthamizhi S.
67'
Ronaldo N.
67'
Ronaldo N.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

SAT Tirur in this I-League 2 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored SAT Tirur.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
NEROCA
30%
Draws
41%
SAT Tirur
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: SAT Tirur

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • SAT Tirur have won more games recently than NEROCA.
  • 41% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular I-League 2 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 40%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
NEROCA Clean Sheet 14%
SAT Tirur Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric NEROCA SAT Tirur
Matches Played 29 24
Wins 7 10
Draws 7 6
Losses 15 8
Goals Scored 1.14 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.66 1.46
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2025 I-League 2
NEROCA vs SAT Tirur
0:1
Feb 12, 2025 I-League 2
SAT Tirur vs NEROCA
5:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

NEROCA Compare

Avg xG / game 1.28
Avg xA / game 0.83

SAT Tirur Compare

Top Goalscorer Senthamizhi S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

NEROCA 35 / 100
SAT Tirur 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
NEROCA SAT Tirur

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAT Tirur Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

NEROCA's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: SAT Tirur conceded in 67% of 24 recent games.

NEROCA has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

NEROCA VS SAT Tirur
1 Goals Scored 2
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.33
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
13% Over 3.5 67%

Recent Form & Match History

NEROCA

(Home)
12 Aug
NEROCA
3 : 1
Raengdai
05 Aug
NEROCA
0 : 2
Indian Navy
28 Jul
TRAU FC
0 : 0
NEROCA
14 May
NEROCA
1 : 3
Sudeva Delhi
08 May
NEROCA
2 : 2
Karbi Anglong
Page 1 of 6

SAT Tirur

(Away)
25 Apr
SC Goa
2 : 3
SAT Tirur
19 Apr
SAT Tirur
2 : 3
TRAU FC
11 Apr
SAT Tirur
1 : 2
Diamond Harbour
03 Apr
SAT Tirur
1 : 1
Chanmari
29 Mar
KLASA
0 : 1
SAT Tirur
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Diamond Harbour 16 11 5 0 28:10 38
2 Chanmari 16 10 3 3 36:10 33
3 SC Goa 16 7 5 4 18:12 26
4 Bengaluru United 16 6 5 5 21:11 23
5 SAT Tirur 16 6 4 6 21:23 22
6 United SC 16 5 6 5 15:17 21
7 NEROCA 16 5 2 9 17:27 17
8 TRAU FC 16 3 3 10 14:30 12
9 KLASA 16 2 1 13 8:38 7
Promotion - I-League (Main)