Sport Picks

Stadium Background

NEROCA vs SC Goa

India India

I-League 2 Khuman Lampak Main Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Gauncar J.

AI Match Summary

The I-League 2 game between NEROCA and SC Goa finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward SC Goa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
NEROCA
20%
Draws
38%
SC Goa
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: NEROCA

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • NEROCA haven't matched SC Goa's recent run of results.
  • NEROCA are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular I-League 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 3 times recently and SC Goa have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
NEROCA Clean Sheet 19%
SC Goa Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric NEROCA SC Goa
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 6 10
Draws 6 6
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 0.88 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2026 I-League 2
NEROCA vs SC Goa
0:1
Apr 11, 2025 I-League 2
NEROCA vs SC Goa
2:1
Feb 25, 2025 I-League 2
SC Goa vs NEROCA
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

NEROCA Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

SC Goa Compare

Top Goalscorer Gauncar J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

NEROCA 42 / 100
SC Goa 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
NEROCA SC Goa

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

NEROCA scored in 70% of their last 27 games.

Defensive concern: SC Goa conceded in 64% of 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.33 goals.

Difficult form: SC Goa registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

NEROCA VS SC Goa
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Delhi FC852120:1017
2Bengaluru United843112:615
3United SC84317:515
4SC Bengaluru832313:1511
5SC Goa83148:1110
6Karbi Anglong824210:710
7Sudeva Delhi83146:710
8MYJ-GMSC81258:195
9NEROCA812511:155