Sport Picks

Stadium Background

NEROCA vs SC Goa

India India

I-League 2 Khuman Lampak Main Stadium, Imphal
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Gauncar J.

AI Match Summary

The I-League 2 game between NEROCA and SC Goa finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward SC Goa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
NEROCA
20%
Draws
44%
SC Goa
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: SC Goa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • NEROCA haven't matched SC Goa's recent run of results.
  • NEROCA are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular I-League 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 3 times recently and SC Goa have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
NEROCA Clean Sheet 18%
SC Goa Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric NEROCA SC Goa
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 7 10
Draws 7 6
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 1.14 1
Goals Conceded 1.66 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2026 I-League 2
NEROCA vs SC Goa
0:1
Apr 11, 2025 I-League 2
NEROCA vs SC Goa
2:1
Feb 25, 2025 I-League 2
SC Goa vs NEROCA
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

NEROCA Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

SC Goa Compare

Top Goalscorer Gauncar J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

NEROCA 41 / 100
SC Goa 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
NEROCA SC Goa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

NEROCA scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: SC Goa conceded in 64% of 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.33 goals.

NEROCA has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

NEROCA VS SC Goa
1.13 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

NEROCA

(Home)
12 Aug
NEROCA
3 : 1
Raengdai
05 Aug
NEROCA
0 : 2
Indian Navy
28 Jul
TRAU FC
0 : 0
NEROCA
14 May
NEROCA
1 : 3
Sudeva Delhi
08 May
NEROCA
2 : 2
Karbi Anglong
Page 1 of 6

SC Goa

(Away)
15 May
SC Goa
1 : 2
SC Bengaluru
08 May
Bengaluru United
4 : 1
SC Goa
02 May
SC Goa
2 : 1
MYJ-GMSC
20 Apr
Delhi FC
2 : 1
SC Goa
14 Apr
SC Goa
1 : 0
Sudeva Delhi
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Delhi FC 8 5 2 1 20:10 17
2 Bengaluru United 8 4 3 1 12:6 15
3 United SC 8 4 3 1 7:5 15
4 SC Bengaluru 8 3 2 3 13:15 11
5 SC Goa 8 3 1 4 8:11 10
6 Karbi Anglong 8 2 4 2 10:7 10
7 Sudeva Delhi 8 3 1 4 6:7 10
8 MYJ-GMSC 8 1 2 5 8:19 5
9 NEROCA 8 1 2 5 11:15 5
Promotion - I-League 2026/2027 (Main)
Relegation - I-League 3 2026/2027 (Main)