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Nes Tziona vs Jerusalem FC

Israel Israel

Liga Alef South 2024/2025 Ness Ziona Stadium
Sat, Jan 25, 2025
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Nes Tziona play Jerusalem FC in the Liga Alef South 2024/2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Nes Tziona averaged 1 goals scored and 2 conceded. Jerusalem FC averaged 2 goals scored and 1.1 conceded. In past meetings, Nes Tziona won 0, Jerusalem FC won 0, and they drew 2. Their last match on Jan 25, 2025 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.29 for Nes Tziona and 1.49 for Jerusalem FC. This points to a Jerusalem FC double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Nes Tziona
40%
Draws
30%
Jerusalem FC
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Jerusalem FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / Medium Confidence
  • Nes Tziona picked up more points recently compared to Jerusalem FC.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.29 vs 1.49 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 59%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 78%
Over 2.5 Goals 59%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 50%
Nes Tziona Clean Sheet 16%
Jerusalem FC Clean Sheet 11%
First Half Goal 70%
Second Half Goal 74%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nes Tziona Jerusalem FC
Matches Played 1 29
Wins 0 15
Draws 0 6
Losses 1 8
Goals Scored 1 2
Goals Conceded 2 1.1

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 25, 2025 Liga Alef South
Nes Tziona vs Jerusalem FC
0:0
Sep 20, 2024 Liga Alef South
Jerusalem FC vs Nes Tziona
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nes Tziona 30 / 100
Jerusalem FC 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nes Tziona Jerusalem FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Jerusalem FC or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +36.5%
4.55
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.5%
1.89
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Nes Tziona attacking → ← attacking Jerusalem FC

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nes Tziona scored in 100% of their last 1 games.

Jerusalem FC let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 0.00 goals.

Nes Tziona went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Jerusalem FC lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

0 Points in last 5 51
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.88
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Ironi Modiin30188445:1962
2Beitar Nordia Jerusalem30175850:3456
3H. Herzliya30167746:3255
4Maccabi Yavne30166844:3354
5FC Dimona30156943:2951
6Holon Yermiyahu301211742:2947
7Jerusalem FC30129947:4145
8Maccabi Ironi Ashdod3010101035:3140
9Agudat Sport Ashdod301081244:3538
10Shimshon Tel Aviv309111033:3438
11Hapoel Marmorek306121229:3830
12Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi306121222:3530
13Hapoel Azor30791428:4830
14Tzeirei Tira30781524:4429
15Hapoel Bnei Lod30851730:5829
16Maccabi Shaarayim30391824:4618
17Nes Tziona00000:00
18Shimshon Kafr Qasim00000:00