Sport Picks

Bulgaria

Third League - South-East 2022/2023

Nesebar

3 - 3

Borislav Parvomay

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Third League - South-East 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Nesebar

Draws

Borislav Parvomay

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Nesebar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Form's been kind to Nesebar lately — more wins on the board than Borislav Parvomay.
Model gives Nesebar a 90% chance of winning this.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 25%

Over 4.5 Goals 11%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%

Nesebar Clean Sheet 20%

Borislav Parvomay Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Nesebar	Borislav Parvomay
Matches Played	39	30
Wins	30	4
Draws	7	5
Losses	2	21
Goals Scored	2.75	0
Goals Conceded	0.5	0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 3, 2023 Third League - South-East

Nesebar vs Borislav Parvomay

Possession: 42% - 50% Cards: 1 - 1

3:3

Aug 20, 2022 Third League - South-East

Borislav Parvomay vs Nesebar

Possession: 51% - 54% Cards: 3 - 4

1:3

Mar 12, 2022 Third League - South-East

Nesebar vs Borislav Parvomay

Possession: 54% - 58% Cards: 4 - 4

2:0

Aug 28, 2021 Third League - South-East

Borislav Parvomay vs Nesebar

Possession: 47% - 55% Cards: 0 - 2

4:0

May 22, 2021 Third League - South-East

Borislav Parvomay vs Nesebar

Possession: 51% - 58% Cards: 2 - 3

3:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nesebar 85 / 100

Borislav Parvomay 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Nesebar Borislav Parvomay

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NES Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Nesebar scored in 87% of their last 39 outings.

Defensive concern: Borislav Parvomay conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Nesebar has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Nesebar VS -

2.75 Goals Scored 0

0.5 Goals Conceded 0

75% Over 1.5 0%

63% Over 2.5 0%

50% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Nesebar	38	26	5	7	84:32	83
2	Chernomorets 1919	38	24	8	6	82:26	80
3	Gigant Saedinenie	38	23	9	6	69:28	78
4	Zagorets	38	22	10	6	64:19	76
5	OFC Haskovo	38	20	9	9	68:36	69
6	Rozova Dolina	38	20	8	10	66:29	68
7	Spartak Plovdiv	38	19	8	11	73:43	65
8	Asenovets	38	19	7	12	69:41	64
9	Lok. Plovdiv II	38	20	4	14	57:33	64
10	Yambol 1915	38	16	9	13	57:48	57
11	Rodopa Smolyan	38	16	7	15	51:48	55
12	Dimitrovgrad	38	16	4	18	52:54	52
13	Sokol Markovo	38	15	3	20	54:58	48
14	Levski Karlovo	38	12	6	20	45:69	42
15	Karnobat	38	11	8	19	37:57	41
16	Beroe II	38	11	4	23	45:74	37
17	Atletik Kuklen	38	11	3	24	37:83	36
18	Sliven	38	10	6	22	58:93	36
19	Borislav Parvomay	38	5	6	27	34:92	21
20	Vereya	38	2	0	36	24:163	6