Sport Picks
Nesebar vs Borislav Parvomay
Bulgaria
Third League - South-East 2022/2023 
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Third League - South-East 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 3-3.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
62%
30%
8%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Nesebar
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
62%
/ High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Nesebar lately — more wins on the board than Borislav Parvomay.
- Model gives Nesebar a 62% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Nesebar Clean Sheet 20%
Borislav Parvomay Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Nesebar | Borislav Parvomay |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 40 | 30 |
| Wins | 27 | 4 |
| Draws | 9 | 5 |
| Losses | 4 | 21 |
| Goals Scored | 3.13 | 0.93 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.85 | 2.27 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.98 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 3, 2023 Third League - South-East
Nesebar vs Borislav Parvomay
3:3
Aug 20, 2022 Third League - South-East
Borislav Parvomay vs Nesebar
1:3
Mar 12, 2022 Third League - South-East
Nesebar vs Borislav Parvomay
2:0
Aug 28, 2021 Third League - South-East
Borislav Parvomay vs Nesebar
4:0
May 22, 2021 Third League - South-East
Borislav Parvomay vs Nesebar
3:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Nesebar 85 / 100
Borislav Parvomay 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Nesebar Borislav Parvomay
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Nesebar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Nesebar scored in 88% of their last 40 outings.
Defensive concern: Borislav Parvomay conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.
These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.
Nesebar has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Nesebar VS -
4.75 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
88% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Nesebar
(Home) 15 Sept
Gorna
1 : 1 Nesebar
06 Sept
Nesebar
2 : 1 Rilski Sportist
02 Sept
Marek
1 : 0 Nesebar
29 Aug
Nesebar
1 : 1 Yantra Gabrovo
23 Aug
Nesebar
7 : 0 Pirin Blagoevgrad
Page 1 of 8
06 Sept
Nesebar
2 : 1 Rilski Sportist
29 Aug
Nesebar
1 : 1 Yantra Gabrovo
23 Aug
Nesebar
7 : 0 Pirin Blagoevgrad
10 Aug
Nesebar
2 : 0 Dobrudzha
25 Jul
Nesebar
1 : 5 Etar
Page 1 of 5
Borislav Parvomay
(Away) 31 May
Borislav Parvomay
0 : 4 Zagorets
27 May
Karnobat
3 : 3 Borislav Parvomay
20 May
Borislav Parvomay
0 : 1 Rozova Dolina
13 May
Vereya
4 : 3 Borislav Parvomay
10 May
Borislav Parvomay
0 : 1 Atletik Kuklen
Page 1 of 6
27 May
Karnobat
3 : 3 Borislav Parvomay
13 May
Vereya
4 : 3 Borislav Parvomay
07 May
Lok. Plovdiv II
1 : 0 Borislav Parvomay
29 Apr
Yambol 1915
3 : 2 Borislav Parvomay
19 Apr
Spartak Plovdiv
5 : 1 Borislav Parvomay
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nesebar | 38 | 26 | 5 | 7 | 84:32 | 83 |
| 2 | Chernomorets 1919 | 38 | 24 | 8 | 6 | 82:26 | 80 |
| 3 | Gigant Saedinenie | 38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 69:28 | 78 |
| 4 | Zagorets | 38 | 22 | 10 | 6 | 64:19 | 76 |
| 5 | OFC Haskovo | 38 | 20 | 9 | 9 | 68:36 | 69 |
| 6 | Rozova Dolina | 38 | 20 | 8 | 10 | 66:29 | 68 |
| 7 | Spartak Plovdiv | 38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 73:43 | 65 |
| 8 | Asenovets | 38 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 69:41 | 64 |
| 9 | Lok. Plovdiv II | 38 | 20 | 4 | 14 | 57:33 | 64 |
| 10 | Yambol 1915 | 38 | 16 | 9 | 13 | 57:48 | 57 |
| 11 | Rodopa Smolyan | 38 | 16 | 7 | 15 | 51:48 | 55 |
| 12 | Dimitrovgrad | 38 | 16 | 4 | 18 | 52:54 | 52 |
| 13 | Sokol Markovo | 38 | 15 | 3 | 20 | 54:58 | 48 |
| 14 | Levski Karlovo | 38 | 12 | 6 | 20 | 45:69 | 42 |
| 15 | Karnobat | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 37:57 | 41 |
| 16 | Beroe II | 38 | 11 | 4 | 23 | 45:74 | 37 |
| 17 | Atletik Kuklen | 38 | 11 | 3 | 24 | 37:83 | 36 |
| 18 | Sliven | 38 | 10 | 6 | 22 | 58:93 | 36 |
| 19 | Borislav Parvomay | 38 | 5 | 6 | 27 | 34:92 | 21 |
| 20 | Vereya | 38 | 2 | 0 | 36 | 24:163 | 6 |
Promotion - Vtora liga 2023/2024 (Main)
