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Nesebar vs Chernomorets 1919 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Vtora liga Gradski stadion, Nesebar
Sat, Oct 31, 2026
VS
12:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Nesebar host Chernomorets 1919 in the Vtora liga. Little to choose between these two on current form. Chernomorets 1919 have shipped 1.07 goals a game lately, while Nesebar have conceded 1.14 and scored 2.52. Head-to-head, Nesebar have won 3 to Chernomorets 1919's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on Feb 5, 2025, ending 0:3. The numbers (0.88 xG vs 1.94) point toward Nesebar. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Nesebar
20%
Draws
57%
Chernomorets 1919
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Chernomorets 1919

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Nesebar come out ahead of Chernomorets 1919 on wins alone.
  • Chernomorets 1919 are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Vtora liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Nesebar Clean Sheet 10%
Chernomorets 1919 Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nesebar Chernomorets 1919
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 16 14
Draws 6 7
Losses 7 8
Goals Scored 2.52 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 5, 2025 Club Friendly
Nesebar vs Chernomorets 1919
0:3
May 6, 2023 Third League - South-East
Nesebar vs Chernomorets 1919
1:0
Oct 26, 2022 Third League - South-East
Chernomorets 1919 vs Nesebar
0:1
Jul 16, 2022 Club Friendly
Chernomorets 1919 vs Nesebar
2:1
Apr 16, 2022 Third League - South-East
Nesebar vs Chernomorets 1919
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nesebar 22 / 100
Chernomorets 1919 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nesebar Chernomorets 1919

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chernomorets 1919 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nesebar's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Chernomorets 1919's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Nesebar stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nesebar VS Chernomorets 1919
1.25 Goals Scored 2.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Nesebar

(Home)
23 Oct
Hebar
2 : 1
Nesebar
18 Oct
Nesebar
0 : 2
CSKA Sofia
10 Oct
Nesebar
0 : 0
CSKA Sofia II
04 Oct
Rodopa Smolyan
1 : 3
Nesebar
27 Sept
Vihren
2 : 0
Nesebar
Page 1 of 6

Chernomorets 1919

(Away)
23 Oct
Chernomorets 1919
1 : 1
Svoge
18 Oct
Chernomorets 1919
0 : 4
Botev Plovdiv
10 Oct
Dobrudzha
0 : 3
Chernomorets 1919
04 Oct
Volov Shumen
0 : 2
Chernomorets 1919
27 Sept
Chernomorets 1919
2 : 0
Montana
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CSKA Sofia II 12 7 3 2 23:9 24
2 Vihren 12 7 3 2 25:12 24
3 Chernomorets 1919 12 7 3 2 21:8 24
4 Fratria 12 6 4 2 17:10 22
5 Rilski Sportist 12 5 4 3 14:10 19
6 Yantra Gabrovo 12 6 1 5 13:11 19
7 Nesebar 12 5 3 4 20:17 18
8 Beroe 12 5 3 4 18:15 18
9 Gorna 12 4 5 3 9:10 17
10 Hebar 12 5 2 5 27:20 17
11 Etar 11 5 2 4 19:19 17
12 Marek 12 5 2 5 14:14 17
13 Ludogorets II 11 4 3 4 12:12 15
14 Spartak Pleven 12 4 2 6 12:23 14
15 Montana 12 3 2 7 15:26 11
16 Svoge 12 2 4 6 8:13 10
17 Dobrudzha 12 2 3 7 12:21 9
18 Pirin Blagoevgrad 12 0 1 11 5:34 1
Promotion - efbet League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - efbet League (Relegation)
Relegation - Vtora liga (Relegation)