Sport Picks
Nesebar vs Rilski Sportist - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Bulgaria
Vtora liga Gradski stadion, Nesebar 
Match Events
4'
4'
Genev V.
6'
6'
Atanasov M.
22'
22'
Tartov G.
AI Match Summary
Nesebar in this Vtora liga matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Nesebar.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
15%
46%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rilski Sportist
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
46%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Nesebar lately — more wins on the board than Rilski Sportist.
- Rilski Sportist are the model's pick here, at 50%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- Nesebar have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Nesebar Clean Sheet 20%
Rilski Sportist Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Nesebar | Rilski Sportist |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 27 |
| Wins | 18 | 15 |
| Draws | 6 | 4 |
| Losses | 5 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 2.79 | 1.26 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.07 | 0.81 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 6, 2026 Vtora liga
Nesebar vs Rilski Sportist
2:1
Apr 24, 2004 Vtora liga
Nesebar vs Rilski Sportist
2:0
Nov 1, 2003 Vtora liga
Rilski Sportist vs Nesebar
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Nesebar Compare
Top Goalscorer Gelin N.
1 Goals Assists Leader Parashkevov K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Rilski Sportist Compare
Top Goalscorer Tartov G.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Nesebar 24 / 100
Rilski Sportist 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Nesebar Rilski Sportist
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Rilski Sportist Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Nesebar found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).
Historical meetings average 1.67 goals per match.
Nesebar went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Rilski Sportist let in goals in 59% of their last 27 matches.
Scoring Trends
Nesebar VS Rilski Sportist
2.25 Goals Scored 1.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Nesebar
(Home) 04 Oct
Rodopa Smolyan
1 : 3 Nesebar
27 Sept
Vihren
2 : 0 Nesebar
20 Sept
Nesebar
4 : 3 Beroe
15 Sept
Gorna
1 : 1 Nesebar
06 Sept
Nesebar
2 : 1 Rilski Sportist
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Nesebar
4 : 3 Beroe
06 Sept
Nesebar
2 : 1 Rilski Sportist
29 Aug
Nesebar
1 : 1 Yantra Gabrovo
23 Aug
Nesebar
7 : 0 Pirin Blagoevgrad
10 Aug
Nesebar
2 : 0 Dobrudzha
Page 1 of 3
Rilski Sportist
(Away) 04 Oct
Zagorets
0 : 4 Rilski Sportist
26 Sept
Rilski Sportist
1 : 0 Pirin Blagoevgrad
20 Sept
Marek
1 : 3 Rilski Sportist
13 Sept
Rilski Sportist
2 : 0 Yantra Gabrovo
06 Sept
Nesebar
2 : 1 Rilski Sportist
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Zagorets
0 : 4 Rilski Sportist
20 Sept
Marek
1 : 3 Rilski Sportist
06 Sept
Nesebar
2 : 1 Rilski Sportist
29 Aug
Dobrudzha
0 : 0 Rilski Sportist
15 Aug
Etar
1 : 1 Rilski Sportist
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vihren | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 25:11 | 24 |
| 2 | CSKA Sofia II | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 23:9 | 23 |
| 3 | Fratria | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 17:8 | 22 |
| 4 | Chernomorets 1919 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 18:8 | 21 |
| 5 | Beroe | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 16:12 | 18 |
| 6 | Rilski Sportist | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 14:10 | 18 |
| 7 | Nesebar | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 20:17 | 17 |
| 8 | Gorna | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 9:10 | 16 |
| 9 | Yantra Gabrovo | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 12:11 | 16 |
| 10 | Hebar | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 24:19 | 14 |
| 11 | Etar | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 17:19 | 14 |
| 12 | Marek | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 11:12 | 14 |
| 13 | Spartak Pleven | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 11:22 | 13 |
| 14 | Ludogorets II | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 9:10 | 12 |
| 15 | Montana | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 13:23 | 11 |
| 16 | Svoge | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 7:10 | 10 |
| 17 | Dobrudzha | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 12:18 | 9 |
| 18 | Pirin Blagoevgrad | 11 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 4:33 | 0 |
Promotion - efbet League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - efbet League (Relegation)
Relegation - Vtora liga (Relegation)
