Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Nesodden vs Rustad

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 1 2014
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 1 2014 game between Nesodden and Rustad finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nesodden.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Nesodden
15%
Draws
0%
Rustad
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nesodden

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Nesodden carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Nesodden a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 1 2014 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Nesodden Clean Sheet 10%
Rustad Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nesodden Rustad
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 9 8
Draws 5 3
Losses 18 19
Goals Scored 1.84 1.73
Goals Conceded 2.78 3.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.85 2.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2014 Division 3 - Group 1
Nesodden vs Rustad
2:0
Apr 28, 2014 Division 3 - Group 1
Rustad vs Nesodden
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nesodden 47 / 100
Rustad 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nesodden Rustad

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nesodden Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Rustad conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

Rustad's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Nesodden's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Nesodden VS -
2.5 Goals Scored 0
3.88 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
88% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Nesodden

(Home)
13 Apr
Nesodden
0 : 6
Moss
24 Oct
Nesodden
1 : 5
Grorud 2
17 Oct
Trosvik
2 : 3
Nesodden
12 Oct
Nesodden
0 : 1
Skeid 2
05 Oct
Follo 2
8 : 1
Nesodden
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Rustad

(Away)
25 Oct
Rustad
1 : 5
Trosvik
18 Oct
Sprint-Jeloy
6 : 0
Rustad
11 Oct
Rustad
0 : 1
Oppsal
04 Oct
Sparta Sarpsborg
3 : 2
Rustad
27 Sept
Rustad
1 : 5
Krakeroy
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