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Stadium Background

Nesodden vs Sparta Sarpsborg

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 1 2014
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 1 2014 game between Nesodden and Sparta Sarpsborg finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nesodden.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Nesodden
15%
Draws
0%
Sparta Sarpsborg
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nesodden

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Sparta Sarpsborg haven't matched Nesodden's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Nesodden a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Nesodden Clean Sheet 20%
Sparta Sarpsborg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nesodden Sparta Sarpsborg
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 8 5
Draws 5 4
Losses 17 22
Goals Scored 1.9 1.23
Goals Conceded 2.9 3.19
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 11, 2014 Division 3 - Group 1
Nesodden vs Sparta Sarpsborg
1:0
Jun 21, 2014 Division 3 - Group 1
Sparta Sarpsborg vs Nesodden
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nesodden 85 / 100
Sparta Sarpsborg 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nesodden Sparta Sarpsborg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nesodden Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Sparta Sarpsborg conceded in 87% of 31 recent games.

Sparta Sarpsborg lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Nesodden scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

- VS Sparta Sarpsborg
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 2.13
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Nesodden

(Home)
13 Apr
Nesodden
0 : 6
Moss
24 Oct
Nesodden
1 : 5
Grorud 2
17 Oct
Trosvik
2 : 3
Nesodden
12 Oct
Nesodden
0 : 1
Skeid 2
05 Oct
Follo 2
8 : 1
Nesodden
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Sparta Sarpsborg

(Away)
22 Aug
Sparta Sarpsborg
0 : 2
Sarpsborg 08
01 May
Sparta Sarpsborg
0 : 9
Fredrikstad
22 Oct
Sparta Sarpsborg
3 : 7
Sarpsborg FK
15 Oct
Nordstrand
3 : 2
Sparta Sarpsborg
08 Oct
Sparta Sarpsborg
1 : 4
Drobak-Frogn
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