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Nestemice vs Louny

Czech Republic Czech Republic

Ustecky KP
Sat, Sep 19, 2026
VS
08:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Nestemice host Louny in the Ustecky KP. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Nestemice have averaged 2.03 scored and 1.35 conceded recently, against Louny's 1.87 scored and 2.32 conceded. Head-to-head, Nestemice have won 0 to Louny's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on May 17, 2025, ending 0:1. Model xG sits at 2.00 vs 1.88, favoring Nestemice. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Nestemice
20%
Draws
40%
Louny
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Nestemice lately — more wins on the board than Louny.
  • Model gives Louny a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Ustecky KP form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Nestemice Clean Sheet 10%
Louny Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nestemice Louny
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 17 11
Draws 5 4
Losses 9 16
Goals Scored 2.03 1.87
Goals Conceded 1.35 2.32
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2025 Ustecky KP
Nestemice vs Louny
0:1
Oct 20, 2024 Ustecky KP
Louny vs Nestemice
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nestemice 26 / 100
Louny 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nestemice Louny

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Louny Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nestemice found the back of the net in 94% of recent matches (31 games).

Louny's defensive record shows goals conceded in 84% of 31 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Nestemice went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nestemice VS Louny
1.75 Goals Scored 2
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Nestemice

(Home)
12 Sept
Ledvice
1 : 4
Nestemice
05 Sept
Nestemice
1 : 1
Zatec
29 Aug
Litomericko
1 : 4
Nestemice
22 Aug
Nestemice
0 : 1
Tatran Kadan
15 Aug
Bilina
2 : 3
Nestemice
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Louny

(Away)
13 Sept
Louny
4 : 5
Junior Decin
06 Sept
Louny
3 : 0
Probostov
29 Aug
Ledvice
1 : 6
Louny
21 Aug
Louny
0 : 0
Zatec
15 Aug
Litomericko
0 : 4
Louny
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