Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Nestemice vs SK Cernovice

Czech Republic Czech Republic

Ustecky KP 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Nestemice in this Ustecky KP 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Nestemice.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Nestemice
35%
Draws
24%
SK Cernovice
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Nestemice

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Nestemice have won more games recently than SK Cernovice.
  • 41% — that's where the model lands on Nestemice taking it.
  • Regular Ustecky KP 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Nestemice have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 60.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 27%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81%
Nestemice Clean Sheet 10%
SK Cernovice Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nestemice SK Cernovice
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 15 8
Draws 5 8
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 1.97 1.7
Goals Conceded 1.34 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.83 2.04
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Ustecky KP
Nestemice vs SK Cernovice
2:1
Oct 4, 2025 Ustecky KP
SK Cernovice vs Nestemice
1:2
Mar 8, 2025 Ustecky KP
Nestemice vs SK Cernovice
5:3
Aug 10, 2024 Ustecky KP
SK Cernovice vs Nestemice
2:1
Jun 15, 2024 Ustecky KP
SK Cernovice vs Nestemice
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nestemice 38 / 100
SK Cernovice 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nestemice SK Cernovice

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nestemice Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nestemice found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (29 games).

SK Cernovice let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.40 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Nestemice stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nestemice VS SK Cernovice
1.5 Goals Scored 2.33
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.17
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 83%
38% Over 3.5 83%

Recent Form & Match History

Nestemice

(Home)
19 Sept
Nestemice
0 : 2
Louny
12 Sept
Ledvice
1 : 4
Nestemice
05 Sept
Nestemice
1 : 1
Zatec
29 Aug
Litomericko
1 : 4
Nestemice
22 Aug
Nestemice
0 : 1
Tatran Kadan
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SK Cernovice

(Away)
13 Jun
SK Cernovice
3 : 4
Tatran Kadan
06 Jun
Oldrichov
2 : 2
SK Cernovice
30 May
SK Cernovice
1 : 1
Banik Most - Sous B
23 May
Dobromerice
2 : 2
SK Cernovice
16 May
SK Cernovice
3 : 3
Junior Decin
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