Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Netanya vs Hapoel Jerusalem

Israel Israel

Ligat ha'Al 2025/2026 Netanya Stadium, Netanya
Our Tip

Match Events

24'
Ouattara A.
24'
Sotiriou R.
44' Event
Matheus Davo
Assist: Heriberto Tavares

AI Match Summary

The Ligat ha'Al 2025/2026 game between Netanya and Hapoel Jerusalem finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Netanya.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Netanya
30%
Draws
41%
Hapoel Jerusalem
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Hapoel Jerusalem

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Hapoel Jerusalem haven't matched Netanya's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Netanya Clean Sheet 19%
Hapoel Jerusalem Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Netanya Hapoel Jerusalem
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 11
Draws 6 7
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.79 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Toto Cup
Netanya vs Hapoel Jerusalem
3:1
May 4, 2026 Ligat ha'Al
Netanya vs Hapoel Jerusalem
1:0
Jan 9, 2026 Ligat ha'Al
Netanya vs Hapoel Jerusalem
1:1
Sep 27, 2025 Ligat ha'Al
Hapoel Jerusalem vs Netanya
1:2
Aug 9, 2025 Toto Cup
Hapoel Jerusalem vs Netanya
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Netanya Compare

Top Goalscorer Matheus Davo
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Hapoel Jerusalem Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Netanya 32 / 100
Hapoel Jerusalem 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Netanya Hapoel Jerusalem

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Netanya's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Hapoel Jerusalem has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Recent resilience: Netanya stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Netanya VS Hapoel Jerusalem
1.75 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Netanya

(Home)
19 Sept
Netanya
1 : 2
Maccabi Tel Aviv
14 Sept
Hapoel Ramat Gan
2 : 0
Netanya
07 Sept
Netanya
1 : 1
Hapoel Haifa
29 Aug
Beitar Jerusalem
1 : 4
Netanya
24 Aug
Netanya
0 : 0
Sakhnin
Page 1 of 6

Hapoel Jerusalem

(Away)
19 Sept
Maccabi Petah Tikva
2 : 4
Hapoel Jerusalem
15 Sept
Ironi Tiberias
2 : 2
Hapoel Jerusalem
05 Sept
Hapoel Jerusalem
4 : 2
Shmona
29 Aug
Hapoel Petah Tikva
1 : 0
Hapoel Jerusalem
23 Aug
Hapoel Jerusalem
2 : 5
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
7 Netanya 33 14 6 13 59:63 48
8 Shmona 33 11 7 15 50:53 40
9 Ironi Tiberias 33 12 8 13 45:56 36
10 Hapoel Haifa 33 8 10 15 39:51 34
11 Sakhnin 33 8 10 15 28:49 34
12 Hapoel Jerusalem 33 7 10 16 26:43 31
13 SC Ashdod 33 6 10 17 38:62 28
14 Maccabi Bnei Raina 33 6 4 23 26:69 22
Relegation - Leumit League (Main)