Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Netanya vs SC Ashdod

Israel Israel

Toto Cup 2025 Netanya Stadium, Netanya
Our Tip

Match Events

5'
Diakite I.
23'
Muche N.
31'
Shamir O.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Toto Cup 2025 tie, finishing 1-1. Extra time or penalties follow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Netanya
15%
Draws
39%
SC Ashdod
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Netanya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Netanya lately — more wins on the board than SC Ashdod.
  • Win probability leans Netanya's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Netanya have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Netanya, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 59%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Netanya Clean Sheet 68%
SC Ashdod Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Netanya SC Ashdod
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 3
Draws 7 8
Losses 10 18
Goals Scored 1.69 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.77 0.92
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Ligat ha'Al
Netanya vs SC Ashdod
2:1
Apr 5, 2026 Ligat ha'Al
SC Ashdod vs Netanya
2:3
Dec 3, 2025 Ligat ha'Al
Netanya vs SC Ashdod
2:2
Jul 26, 2025 Toto Cup
Netanya vs SC Ashdod
1:1
Mar 1, 2025 Ligat ha'Al
SC Ashdod vs Netanya
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Netanya Compare

Top Goalscorer Harris W.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.89

SC Ashdod Compare

Top Goalscorer Agyei E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.84
Avg xA / game 0.51

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Netanya 68 / 100
SC Ashdod 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Netanya SC Ashdod

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Netanya Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SC Ashdod has conceded goals in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Netanya's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Netanya has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Netanya VS SC Ashdod
2.25 Goals Scored 0.71
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.29
75% Over 1.5 43%
63% Over 2.5 29%
50% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Netanya

(Home)
24 Aug
Netanya
0 : 0
Sakhnin
16 Aug
Netanya
0 : 1
Maccabi Tel Aviv
05 Aug
Hapoel Petah Tikva
0 : 2
Netanya
02 Aug
Netanya
2 : 3
Hapoel Ramat Gan
29 Jul
Maccabi Petah Tikva
1 : 2
Netanya
Page 1 of 6

SC Ashdod

(Away)
24 Aug
SC Ashdod
1 : 0
Maccabi Jaffa
18 Aug
Hapoel Afula
2 : 0
SC Ashdod
10 Jul
SC Ashdod
1 : 3
Ironi Modiin
18 May
Shmona
2 : 3
SC Ashdod
13 May
SC Ashdod
0 : 1
Hapoel Jerusalem
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hapoel Haifa 4 3 0 1 6:4 9
2 Maccabi Bnei Raina 4 2 0 2 9:9 6
3 Shmona 4 2 0 2 4:4 6
4 Ironi Tiberias 4 1 1 2 4:4 4
5 Sakhnin 4 1 1 2 4:6 4
Promotion - Toto Cup 2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Toto Cup 2025 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - Toto Cup 2025 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - Toto Cup 2025 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - Toto Cup 2025 (Placement Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hapoel Tel Aviv 4 3 0 1 7:4 9
2 Hapoel Jerusalem 4 3 0 1 7:4 9
3 Netanya 4 2 1 1 7:7 7
4 Hapoel Petah Tikva 4 1 0 3 6:6 3
5 SC Ashdod 4 0 1 3 2:8 1
Promotion - Toto Cup 2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Toto Cup 2025 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - Toto Cup 2025 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - Toto Cup 2025 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - Toto Cup 2025 (Placement Play Offs)