Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Netherlands U16 vs Japan U16

World World

Friendly International 2024 Estadio Municipal, Vila Real de Santo António
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Unuvar E.
10' Event
Jones A.
27' Event
Beerens J.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International 2024 game between Netherlands U16 and Japan U16 finished 6-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Netherlands U16.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Netherlands U16
15%
Draws
32%
Japan U16
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Netherlands U16

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Netherlands U16 come out ahead of Japan U16 on wins alone.
  • Model gives Netherlands U16 a 53% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Friendly International 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Netherlands U16 Clean Sheet 16%
Japan U16 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Netherlands U16 Japan U16
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 12
Draws 4 3
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 1.93 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 18, 2025 Friendly International
Japan U16 vs Netherlands U16
3:1
Feb 11, 2024 Friendly International
Netherlands U16 vs Japan U16
6:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Netherlands U16 Compare

Top Goalscorer Unuvar E.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Jones A.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Japan U16 Compare

Top Goalscorer Asada H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hariu R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Netherlands U16 84 / 100
Japan U16 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Netherlands U16 Japan U16

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Netherlands U16 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Netherlands U16's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 6.50 goals per match.

Netherlands U16 went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Japan U16 conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Netherlands U16 VS Japan U16
1.63 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Netherlands U16

(Home)
25 Apr
Netherlands U16
3 : 0
China U16
23 Apr
Netherlands U16
3 : 0
Wales U16
15 Apr
Belgium U16
0 : 2
Netherlands U16
13 Apr
Netherlands U16
2 : 0
Sweden U16
11 Apr
Denmark U16
0 : 2
Netherlands U16
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Japan U16

(Away)
21 Apr
Cameroon U16
1 : 2
Japan U16
19 Apr
Japan U16
1 : 0
Mexico U16
17 Apr
Portugal U16
3 : 1
Japan U16
15 Apr
Japan U16
2 : 3
England U16
18 Feb
Japan U16
3 : 1
Netherlands U16
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