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World

Friendly International Women 2024

Japan U16 W

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Netherlands U16 W play Japan U16 W in the Friendly International Women 2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Netherlands U16 W averaged 2.05 goals scored and 1.25 conceded. Japan U16 W averaged 3.37 goals scored and 0.5 conceded. In past meetings, Netherlands U16 W won 0, Japan U16 W won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 31, 2024 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.94 for Netherlands U16 W and 1.31 for Japan U16 W. This points to a Japan U16 W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%

Netherlands U16 W

16%

Draws

51%

Japan U16 W

Draw rate projection: 16% Favored: Japan U16 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / High Confidence

Netherlands U16 W picked up more points recently compared to Japan U16 W.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.94 vs 1.31 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 63%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 78%

Over 2.5 Goals 63%

Over 3.5 Goals 38%

Over 4.5 Goals 19%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 45%

Netherlands U16 W Clean Sheet 18%

Japan U16 W Clean Sheet 16%

First Half Goal 70%

Second Half Goal 74%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Netherlands U16 W	Japan U16 W
Matches Played	20	30
Wins	10	23
Draws	5	3
Losses	5	4
Goals Scored	2.05	3.37
Goals Conceded	1.25	0.5
Expected Goals (xG)	1.50	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.25	0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 31, 2024 Friendly International Women

Netherlands U16 W vs Japan U16 W

Possession: 57% - 52% Cards: 1 - 2

1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Netherlands U16 W Compare

Top Goalscorer van der Vliet T.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.15

Avg xA / game 0.75

Japan U16 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Nakamura K.

2 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Netherlands U16 W 33 / 100

Japan U16 W 49 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Netherlands U16 W Japan U16 W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Japan U16 W or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +32%

4.00

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +10.3%

1.75

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Netherlands U16 W attacking → ← attacking Japan U16 W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Netherlands U16 W scored in 85% of their last 20 games.

Japan U16 W let in goals in 37% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Netherlands U16 W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Japan U16 W lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

35 Points in last 5 72

1.50 Goals expected (xG) 1.38

1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.38