Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Netherlands U17 vs South Korea U16

World World

Friendly International 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Netherlands U17 play South Korea U16 in the Friendly International 2023. It looks like a close match. Recently, Netherlands U17 averaged 2.13 goals scored and 2.03 conceded. South Korea U16 averaged 2.6 goals scored and 1.3 conceded. In past meetings, Netherlands U17 won 0, South Korea U16 won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Nov 17, 2023 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.38 for Netherlands U17 and 1.94 for South Korea U16. This points to a South Korea U16 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Netherlands U17
15%
Draws
52%
South Korea U16
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: South Korea U16

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / High Confidence
  • Netherlands U17 picked up more points recently compared to South Korea U16.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.38 vs 1.94 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 70%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 85%
Over 2.5 Goals 70%
Over 3.5 Goals 42%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 49%
Netherlands U17 Clean Sheet 10%
South Korea U16 Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 81%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Netherlands U17 South Korea U16
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 17
Draws 6 1
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 2.13 2.6
Goals Conceded 2.03 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 3.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 17, 2023 Friendly International
Netherlands U17 vs South Korea U16
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Netherlands U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer Koller J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

South Korea U16 Compare

Top Goalscorer Kim G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hyeung-jun N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Netherlands U17 32 / 100
South Korea U16 49 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Netherlands U17 South Korea U16

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: South Korea U16 or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +32%
4.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.2%
1.56
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Netherlands U17 attacking → ← attacking South Korea U16

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Netherlands U17 scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

South Korea U16 let in goals in 47% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Netherlands U17 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

South Korea U16 lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

39 Points in last 5 52
1.50 Goals expected (xG) 1.75
2.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 3.25