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Netherlands U17 W vs Spain U17 W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Friendly International Women 2025 Sportpark Duinwetering, Noordwijk
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Match Events

18' Event
Gomez C.
33' Event
Arufe L.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International Women 2025 game between Netherlands U17 W and Spain U17 W finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Spain U17 W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Netherlands U17 W
15%
Draws
37%
Spain U17 W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Netherlands U17 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Netherlands U17 W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 37% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Friendly International Women 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Spain U17 W have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Netherlands U17 W Clean Sheet 10%
Spain U17 W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Netherlands U17 W Spain U17 W
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 22 21
Draws 2 5
Losses 6 6
Goals Scored 2.83 2.53
Goals Conceded 1.17 0.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 12, 2025 Friendly International Women
Netherlands U17 W vs Spain U17 W
0:2
Mar 20, 2024 Euro U17 Women
Netherlands U17 W vs Spain U17 W
1:3
May 12, 2022 Euro U17 Women
Spain U17 W vs Netherlands U17 W
3:0
Mar 2, 2022 Friendly International Women
Spain U17 W vs Netherlands U17 W
5:2
May 14, 2019 Euro U17 Women
Spain U17 W vs Netherlands U17 W
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Netherlands U17 W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Spain U17 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Gomez C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Arufe L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Netherlands U17 W 30 / 100
Spain U17 W 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Netherlands U17 W Spain U17 W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Spain U17 W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Netherlands U17 W scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Netherlands U17 W remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Spain U17 W let in goals in 53% of their last 32 matches.

Scoring Trends

Netherlands U17 W VS Spain U17 W
2.38 Goals Scored 3.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Netherlands U17 W

(Home)
17 Mar
Poland U17 W
4 : 3
Netherlands U17 W
14 Mar
Netherlands U17 W
3 : 0
Slovakia U17 W
11 Mar
Netherlands U17 W
5 : 0
Wales U17 W
18 Feb
France U17 W
0 : 2
Netherlands U17 W
08 Nov
North Korea U17 W
3 : 0
Netherlands U17 W
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Spain U17 W

(Away)
14 May
Germany U17 W
1 : 0
Spain U17 W
11 May
Poland U17 W
1 : 4
Spain U17 W
08 May
France U17 W
1 : 0
Spain U17 W
05 May
Spain U17 W
4 : 0
Finland U17 W
07 Mar
Portugal U17 W
0 : 0
Spain U17 W
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