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Netherlands U21 vs Belgium U21

World World

Friendly International Seacon - De Koel, Venlo
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Haen D.
Assist: Oufkir A.
37' Event
Oufkir A.
Assist: Dijkstra E.
46'
Sub
Delavallee M. In: Peersman K.
Out: Delavallee M.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International game between Netherlands U21 and Belgium U21 finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Netherlands U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Netherlands U21
28%
Draws
50%
Belgium U21
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Belgium U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Netherlands U21 come out ahead of Belgium U21 on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Belgium U21's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 27%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Netherlands U21 Clean Sheet 13%
Belgium U21 Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Netherlands U21 Belgium U21
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 20 13
Draws 7 9
Losses 6 8
Goals Scored 1.75 2.29
Goals Conceded 1 0.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.29
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.57

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 30, 2026 Friendly International
Netherlands U21 vs Belgium U21
2:1
Jun 21, 2023 Euro U21
Belgium U21 vs Netherlands U21
0:0
Sep 23, 2022 Friendly International
Belgium U21 vs Netherlands U21
1:2
Mar 22, 2018 Friendly International
Netherlands U21 vs Belgium U21
1:4
Jun 16, 2007 Euro U21
Belgium U21 vs Netherlands U21
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Netherlands U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Haen D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Oufkir A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Belgium U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Bassette N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.08
Avg xA / game 1.27

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Netherlands U21 22 / 100
Belgium U21 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Netherlands U21 Belgium U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BEL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Netherlands U21 scored in 94% of their last 33 games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Netherlands U21 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Belgium U21 conceded in 57% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Netherlands U21 VS Belgium U21
1.75 Goals Scored 2.29
1 Goals Conceded 0.57
88% Over 1.5 71%
63% Over 2.5 43%
25% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Netherlands U21

(Home)
30 Mar
Netherlands U21
2 : 1
Belgium U21
27 Mar
Norway U21
3 : 2
Netherlands U21
18 Nov
Israel U21
3 : 1
Netherlands U21
14 Nov
Netherlands U21
2 : 0
Slovenia U21
14 Oct
Netherlands U21
2 : 0
Lithuania U21
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Belgium U21

(Away)
30 Mar
Netherlands U21
2 : 1
Belgium U21
27 Mar
Belgium U21
1 : 0
Austria U21
14 Nov
Austria U21
1 : 0
Belgium U21
14 Oct
Belgium U21
2 : 0
Denmark U21
10 Oct
Wales U21
0 : 7
Belgium U21
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