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Netherlands U21 vs England U21

World World

Friendly International 2024 Yanmar Stadion, Almere
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Scarlett D.
Assist: Iling Junior S.
13'
Sub
Meijer B. In: Kasanwirjo N.
Out: Meijer B.
37'
Morton T.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International 2024 game between Netherlands U21 and England U21 finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Netherlands U21
6%
Draws
90%
England U21
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: England U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • England U21 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives England U21 a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Friendly International 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Netherlands U21 Clean Sheet 15%
England U21 Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Netherlands U21 England U21
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 19 22
Draws 6 5
Losses 5 3
Goals Scored 1.38 2.25
Goals Conceded 0.88 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 25, 2025 Euro U21
England U21 vs Netherlands U21
2:1
Nov 18, 2024 Friendly International
Netherlands U21 vs England U21
1:1
Nov 19, 2019 Friendly International
Netherlands U21 vs England U21
2:1
Sep 6, 2018 Euro U21
England U21 vs Netherlands U21
0:0
Sep 1, 2017 Euro U21
Netherlands U21 vs England U21
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Netherlands U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer van Bergen T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

England U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Scarlett D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Netherlands U21 10 / 100
England U21 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Netherlands U21 England U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ENG Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Netherlands U21's goal record stands at 97% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Netherlands U21 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

England U21's defensive record shows goals conceded in 50% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Netherlands U21 VS England U21
1.38 Goals Scored 2.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Netherlands U21

(Home)
30 Mar
Netherlands U21
2 : 1
Belgium U21
27 Mar
Norway U21
3 : 2
Netherlands U21
18 Nov
Israel U21
3 : 1
Netherlands U21
14 Nov
Netherlands U21
2 : 0
Slovenia U21
14 Oct
Netherlands U21
2 : 0
Lithuania U21
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England U21

(Away)
31 Mar
England U21
4 : 1
Moldova U21
27 Mar
Andorra U21
1 : 1
England U21
18 Nov
Slovakia U21
0 : 4
England U21
14 Nov
England U21
2 : 0
Ireland U21
13 Oct
England U21
1 : 0
Andorra U21
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